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October 17, 2023

After the Cowboys edged the Chargers 20-17, unders finished with a 12-2-1 record in Week 6. A whopping 25 teams scored 21 points or fewer this week. Since when did Brian Ferentz offenses take over the NFL 😆?

That now brings unders to 56-36-1 (60.9%) on the season and 14-6 in primetime (70.0%). According to Action Network, that 60.9% mark is the best 6-week start for unders since 1991 🤯.

On the Week 7 slate, there are five totals below 40 and only two above 45.

We asked trader Wyatt Satre why he thinks unders have been such a strong bet so far this season.

ASK THE TRADER: I think unders hitting at this rate is likely driven by variance. When you look at team offense averages between this year and last year, there is very little difference. The only number that sticks out is points per drive at 1.87, which is the lowest since 2017. A key factor why that could be is there has been a bigger drop-off this year in red-zone efficiency this season compared to the last two years.