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November 3, 2023

Typically we highlight many popular NFL player props each week, however this week there’s a curious development. One player prop stands alone in action in terms of both tickets and handle, so let’s just highlight that one instead.

Joe Burrow is all the way back after a calf injury marred his first month of the season. Yet, not only is Burrow under 1.5 passing touchdowns (now +125, was +160) leading all Week 9 player props in tickets and handle, it’s drawn over two times more handle than any other player prop 🤯.

We brought in trader Ethan Useloff to help explain why that’s the case.

ASK THE TRADER: Burrow has led the Bengals 🐅 to three straight wins, and he’s tossed 8 TD passes over that span. Despite his standout play of late, we’ve gotten very strong action on Burrow under 1.5 TD passes against the Bills. This likely stems from the strength of the Bills’ defense, which has only allowed two QBs to throw for multiple TDs in the first eight games. Buffalo is also tied for second in sacks this season, so Burrow may be less effective if he’s consistently getting pressured.