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THURSDAY

Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

📺 MARQUEE MATCHUP: Bettors don’t trust Easton Stick-led Chargers

🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Our experts give out their TNF best bets

🤔 ASK THE TRADER: Any spread impact from Draymond suspension?

📋 COACHES CORNER: Should Dan Campbell still be COY favorite?

OUTSTANDING OFFER

BONUS BET ON THE HOUSE 🏠

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Let’s spice up Chargers-Raiders with a BONUS BET on us 😃! If you’re trying to figure out how to use it, we have a suggestion.

Here at the Hustle, we share noteworthy betting action every single edition. So we turned it into a TNF parlay that is now being offered on the betting app homepage up until kickoff.

The “Hustle’s People Parlay” will feature the game’s three most popular player prop bets by tickets from your fellow bettors. Instead of trusting one person’s opinion, we’re rolling with the opinion of thousands 🧠.

After we cashed it at +300 last Thursday night, let’s make it two in a row here.

For tonight’s clash, the most popular player props by tickets are Austin Ekeler anytime touchdown, Ekeler 3+ receptions and Jakobi Meyers 20+ receiving yards. The “Hustle’s People Parlay” currently pays out +300.

We’re also offering BOOSTED ODDS on FIRST TOUCHDOWN SCORER during tonight’s Power Hour, starting at 6 p.m. ET.

WHAT HAPPENS IN VEGAS

MARQUEE MATCHUP 📺

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OPENING KICKOFF: 8:15 p.m. ET

KEY FACTS: Unders have gone 10-3 for both the Raiders and Chargers, tying them with the Steelers and Vikings for the most unders cashed this season. Since 2015, teams that were shut out the previous week (like the Raiders) have gone 29-13-3 against the spread in their next game 🤔.

MAKING MOVES: Las Vegas opened as slight 1.5-point chalk at home and that spread has since moved up to Raiders -3. Meanwhile, the total was first released at 35.5, reached as low as 33.5 and has since come back up slightly to 34.5.

TOP PROPS: With all of the injuries piling up on both sides, it’s not too surprising to see that two of the most popular props involve Austin Ekeler. Ekeler anytime touchdown leads all player props in tickets and handle 💵. Ekeler is +155 to score, which is the third-lowest odds behind Raiders tailbacks Zamir White (+120) and Josh Jacobs (+125).

The over for Ekeler receiving yards is second in handle among all player props. His receiving yards prop has increased from 25.5 to 30.5, with 92.4% of the tickets as well as 97.7% of the handle on the over.

EXPERT PICKS

Ryan Leaf is rolling with an under on this TNF player prop, while two-sport star Ariel Epstein has overs for both NFL and NBA.

THE SIGNAL-CALLER

Chargers QB Easton Stick Under 30.5 Passing Attempts (-115) [8:15 p.m. ET]
“I don’t think the Chargers are going to ask Stick to do that much. Expect lots of carries for Austin Ekeler instead of dropping back Stick against feared pass-rusher Maxx Crosby.”

THE PROP QUEEN

Cavaliers C Jarrett Allen Over 9.5 Rebounds (+100) [7:30 p.m. ET]
“In the last five games with Kristaps Porzingis in the lineup, opposing leading rebounders have grabbed over 12 rebounds per game against the Celtics.”
Raiders QB Aidan O'Connell Over 195.5 Passing Yards (-115) [8:15 p.m. ET]
“The Chargers allow an NFL-high 285 passing yards per game, and 11 of 13 QBs have thrown for at least 200 passing yards against them. That includes O’Connell, who had 238 in their first meeting back in October.”
IT AIN'T EASY BEING GREEN

ASK THE TRADER 🤔

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The NBA dropped the hammer by suspending Warriors star Draymond Green indefinitely after he struck Suns center Jusuf Nurkic in the face on Tuesday night. He’s already been ejected ❌ three times this campaign, which is tied for his most in any season.

But how much is Draymond still worth to the spread and other game odds? We called on trader Wyatt Satre to help explain.

ASK THE TRADER: Draymond’s suspension won’t have much of an impact on odds for Warriors games. Maybe he’s worth half a point to the spread and a point on the total. His defensive impact isn’t anywhere near where it used to be, as he’s outside the top 25 in defensive rating. Opposing big men have feasted on the Warriors’ interior throughout the season already, but Draymond’s absence could still move those props by 1-2 points and a couple rebounds.

AWARDS TOUR

COACHES CORNER 📋

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There are only four weeks left of the NFL regular season, meaning several tight awards races are in the home stretch.

One awards market with an interesting favorite is Coach of the Year, with Dan Campbell still at the top at +200. This is despite the Lions losing two of their past three contests and not winning by more than one score since October.

We brought back trader Wyatt Satre to get his thoughts as to why Campbell is still the COY favorite and if there are any new contenders that have emerged.

ASK THE TRADER: I think Campbell is still the favorite since the other top contenders (DeMeco Ryans, Shane Steichen, Mike McDaniel) all had tough losses this past week as well. I don’t think any coach has really done enough yet to fully overtake Campbell, though there are a lot of coaches who can down the stretch. The big recent movers were Kevin Stefanski (+4000 to +800) and Kyle Shanahan (+2000 to +800). Stefanski has been successful with backup QBs despite playing in a tough AFC. The Browns look like a solid bet to make the playoffs and Stefanski will have a strong case for the award if they do.

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