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MONDAY

The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

PLAYOFF PREVIEW: Which No. 3 seed is a ‘dog?

EXPERT PICKS: Three experts, one common goal

OUTRAGEOUS OFFER: 60 Days of Bonus Bets has reached double digits

DRAFT DEADLOCK: Odds shift at the top

OPENING ODDS

SERIES SHOWDOWNS

Sacramento is the only higher seed that is an underdog in its opening-round battle. 

Four playoff matchups are ready to go, along with series futures odds for all.

No. 6 Nets (+550) vs. No. 3 76ers (-800)
Philadelphia is a huge favorite against a Brooklyn team that unloaded its stars midway through the season.

No. 5 Knicks (+170) vs. No. 4 Cavaliers (-210)
NY is the underdog despite a 3-1 record over Cleveland in the season series. Will Julius Randle (ankle) be cleared to play?

No. 6 Warriors (-275) vs. No. 3 Kings (+215)
Can Golden State solve its road struggles in the postseason? Warriors are 33-8 at Chase Center but 11-30 away from home, which is fourth worst in the NBA.

No. 5 Clippers (+360) vs. No. 4 Suns (-500)
Kevin Durant made Phoenix an instant title contender, though he’s played just eight games over the last three months.

EXPERT PICKS

Prop Queen Ariel Epstein and Max Meyer get ready for today on the diamond, while NBA expert Kazeem 'Kaz' Famuyide is opting for a look into the futures.

THE PROP QUEEN

Nationals @ Angels: Nats Over 3.5 Runs (-120) [9:38 p.m. ET]
“The Nationals have the 12th-best OPS against lefties and have feasted on poor pitching. I do not trust Jose Suarez, and he was worse at home (4.14 ERA) last season than on the road (3.75 ERA).”
Jose Suarez: Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120)
“We’re fading Suarez again. The Nationals may stink, but they haven’t been striking out very much. In six starts, lefties are only punching out 3.5 Nationals per game.”

THE NBA GURU

Series Winner: Warriors (-275) Over Kings
Congratulations Sacramento! You’ve had your best season in two decades and your reward is a now-healthy defending champion Warriors. I like GS in 6 here, all hinging on a returning Andrew Wiggins."
Eastern Conference Winner: Bucks (+120)
"Giannis is an MVP candidate, Holiday is an All-Star and Lopez might be the DPOY. With or without Khris Middleton, the Bucks have been the class of the NBA."

THE SENIOR EDITOR

Red Sox @ Rays: Red Sox ML +130 (6:40 p.m. ET)
“The Rays are off to a historically good start – +57 run differential in first nine games hasn’t occurred since 1884. But let’s see what happens when they aren’t playing the dregs of the sport (Nationals/A’s/Tigers).”
PERFECT 10

BONUS BETS BONANZA

PointsBet Creative

PointsBet is giving away $100 million of Bonus Bets through May 30. So make sure to check your account during every Power Hour (6-7 p.m. ET) until then!

The credit is good for all states but NY. See Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

Let’s start the week off on the right foot with today’s Bonus Bet, with an MLB SGP (+850) from Brewers-Diamondbacks (9:40 p.m. ET).

  • Brewers ML (+125): D-Backs starter Zac Gallen has allowed 10 runs (9 earned) in 10.2 innings over two outings, while Wade Miley tossed six scoreless in his lone start.
  • Over 9 runs (-110): Both offenses score 5+ runs per game, and Milwaukee’s .365 OBP ranks second in the MLB.
  • Zac Gallen Over 6.5 K’s (-110): Bringing in a 10.0 career K/9, Gallen will face a Brewers offense that’s striking out nine times per game.
SO YOU'RE SAYING THERE'S A CHANCE

POWER RANKINGS️‍♂️

The Suns, Warriors and Nuggets are the only Western Conference teams with better NBA title odds than the Lakers.

Only one of the eight play-in teams is given a reasonable shot to go all the way. The deets:

  • Lakers +1400: L.A. enters with the seventh-best odds to win an NBA title despite failing to crack the Western Conference’s top six. That’s called the LeBron effect.
  • Heat +10000: From No. 1 seed in the East last season to play-in tournament. It doesn’t help that the Heat are in the bottom nine in shooting percentage offensively and defensively.
  • Pelicans +15000: Fun fact: Jonas Valanciunas holds the NBA play-in record with 23 rebounds in a single game.
  • Hawks +20000: Atlanta’s all-offense, no-defense approach features the third-most points per game and the fifth-most allowed. Good luck to anyone taking Hawks unders.
  • Timberwolves +20000: Minnesota might have showed a little too much fight in the regular season finale.
  • Raptors +20000: The Raptors wish the 3-point line was extinct. They shoot 33.5% from deep and allow 37.4% of 3s to be made — both rank 28th in the NBA.
  • Bulls +50000: The Lakers are the only other play-in team that can boast having two healthy 24+ point scorers like the Bulls do with DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine.
  • Thunder +50000: OKC needs way more help than just the Mavs to win it all, but we could be getting closer to a postseason tanking one of these years.
YOUNG MOVIN' ON UP

ASK THE TRADER

Even as recently as last Thursday, Last Thursday, Stroud was still at -275 to be first pick and Young resided at +225.

The NFL Draft is 17 days away, and the first pick remains guesswork.

When Carolina acquired the No. 1 pick from the Bears on March 10, C.J. Stroud shifted from +350 to -250. Bryce Young dropped from -165 to +325.

Now there’s no singular favorite. The Ohio State and Alabama products are dead even at -115.

ASK THE TRADER: “The tricky thing about trading the NFL Draft is that it’s mostly based on news/reporting. When Carolina traded up, everyone thought Stroud would go No. 1. ESPN’s Chris Mortensen is now reporting that Bryce Young is Carolina’s guy. The key is not buying into every bit of reported information. We take into account smart money, market prices and personal leans.” – Michael Veneziano, Trading Content Manager

WIN TOTALS IN REVIEW

WINNERS & LOSERS

PointsBet Creative

Which teams were the biggest surprises and disappointments? Let’s revisit our regular-season win totals:

OVERjoyed

  • Thunder 23.5 ➡️ 40: No Chet Holmgren, no problem. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.4 ppg) leads a feisty group with his relentless drives into the paint.
  • Kings 34.5 ➡️ 48: The longest playoff drought in NBA history is over! Sacramento is back for the first time since 2007, when De’Aaron Fox was in elementary school.
  • Jazz 25.5 ➡️ 37, Pacers 23.5 ➡️ 35: Two teams expected to be contenders in the Wembanyama sweepstakes instead ended up in no man’s land.

UNDERwhelming

  • Pistons 28.5 ➡️ 17: Cade Cunningham (shin) was lost for the season in December, resulting in a lost season.
  • Mavs 48.5 ➡️ 38: You’d think that teams would have learned their lesson about acquiring Kyrie Irving ⛈️.
  • Warriors 52.5 ➡️ 44, Clippers 52.5 ➡️ 44: They’re two of the most talented teams in the league, but both have some Jekyll and Hyde in them: Warriors home vs. road, Clippers full strength vs. load management.
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