The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
ACTION REPORT: Matt LaFleur’s COY odds have moved big time
EXPERT PICKS: Paige has two outrights for the Wyndham
BACK TO SCHOOL: Penn State is ready to topple Michigan/OSU
MARKET MOVERS: Which teams improved WS odds with trades?
We’ve actually made it to August! But we still have a bit to go before the NFL regular season kicks off. To help speed ???? up the timeline, we have our daily NFL betting reports. We’ll be highlighting the betting action for individual teams in four Hustles per week, sorting them out by division.
We march forward in the NFC North with the Packers.
SUPER BOWL Odds: Opened +3300 (T-9th), currently +3500 (T-14th)
Action: 0.6% tickets (27th), 0.8% handle (21st)
WIN TOTAL Odds: 7.5 (Over -130, Under +100)
Action: OVER 54% tickets, OVER 72% handle
DIVISION Odds: Opened +250 (2nd), currently +425 (4th)
Action: 15.2% tickets (4th), 10.8% handle (4th)
PERUSING THE PLAYERS
???? Jordan Love has big shoes ???? to fill in Green Bay, but there are bettors who think he can exceed expectations and then some. The 2020 first-round pick opened at +6600 for NFL MVP, and currently resides at +4500 for the award. Love is tied for 13th in tickets (1.7%) and sits in 14th (0.9%) in handle.
???? The NFC North is hands down the most popular division for Coach of the Year action, and Matt LaFleur is a key reason why. LaFleur was originally listed at +2500, and has come all the way down to +1200. Trading content manager Michael Veneziano noted that there was sharp ???? action on LaFleur early on that drove his price down. Green Bay’s head coach has racked up 9.0% of the tickets (T-3rd) and 15.3% of the handle (3rd).
EXPEERT PICKS
Paige Spiranac has two outrights from this week's Wyndham Championship, while Ariel Epstein has bravely decided to back a struggling New York baseball team.
THE FORMER PRO
Wyndham Championship: Denny McCarthy to Win (+2500)
“McCarthy should have won the Memorial before losing to Viktor Hovland in a playoff. He’s bounced back nicely since, including a T7 at Travelers and T6 at John Deere.”
J.T. Poston to Win (+3300)
“He has three top-6 finishes in his last four events. Plus, he may be extra motivated this week after all the criticism from his costly final hole at the 3M Open.”
THE PROP QUEEN
Yankees Moneyline (-120) vs. Rays [7:05 p.m. ET]
“Gerrit Cole has allowed 3 runs or fewer in each of his last 10 outings. Good chance to buy low on the Yankees—they’ve won 15 of Cole’s 22 starts but are 5 games below .500 when anyone else is on the mound.”
Twins SP Joe Ryan Under 6.5 K’s (-145) [7:45 p.m. ET]
“The Cardinals have the 10th-lowest K-rate against righties, with righty starters averaging 4.8 strikeouts per start. Ryan has gone under his K prop in 3 of 4 road starts against low K-rate teams.”
PointsBet is offering BOOSTED ODDS for OUTRIGHT WINNER on the top-20 golfers to win the Wyndham Championship, which tees off tomorrow. Make sure to take advantage during our Daily Power ???? Hour, starting at 6 p.m. ET.
See the Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
The best news when the calendar flips to August? That there will be live college football games on our screens later this month. After going through win totals and Heisman picks for each Power 5 conference, it’s now time to give out picks for conference futures.
Senior editor Max Meyer shares his best bet for conference winner, as well as a sleeper ???? (+1000 odds or longer) that can make some noise. So Max is going with either Michigan or Ohio State for the Big Ten champ, right? Not quite.
PICK TO WIN: Penn State (+600)
Penn State is a lot closer to Ohio State (+160) and Michigan (+165) than these conference odds suggest. Yes, the other two are brand names but Penn State’s roster is absolutely loaded. The Nittany Lions not only have one of the best defenses in the Big Ten, but also in the entire country.
Sophomore tailbacks Nicholas Singleton (1,061) and Kaytron Allen (867) were the first true freshmen teammates in Big Ten history to each rack up at least 700 rushing yards ????. If 5-star Drew Allar lives up to the hype at quarterback, this price is a steal. Even if he doesn’t, Penn State has enough talent to still compete with Michigan and Ohio State.
SLEEPER: Iowa (+1200)
Iowa deserved all the punchlines last season, but the offense will be better. Going from the Spencer Petras nightmare ???? to former Michigan signal-caller Cade McNamara is a potentially massive upgrade. The Hawkeyes landed Ohio State transfer and former 4-star Kaleb Brown at wideout, the highest-rated wide receiver in Iowa history. The OL was a disaster last season, but four of those starters were underclassmen and Iowa added more help in the portal.
Iowa does lose key players on a defense that finished No. 1 in yards per play allowed last season. But the Hawkeyes have been a consistently great unit under defensive coordinator Phil Parker, so I don’t see too big of a drop-off here. The Hawkeyes also don’t have Michigan or Ohio State on its regular season schedule ????????, while the other top Big Ten West contender (Wisconsin) could have growing pains thanks to major coaching changes.
The MLB trade deadline has passed, and several teams made big moves to gear up for a postseason run.
Which ballclubs have seen their World Series odds noticeably improve over the past week ?????
Astros: +850 to +700 Houston had the fifth-lowest World Series odds before bringing back Justin Verlander, as they trailed the Braves (+320), Dodgers (+475), Rays (+700) and Rangers (+800). The Astros leapfrogged ???? the Rangers, and are now tied with the Rays in the third spot.
Rangers: +1000 to +800
Texas has been hanging on without Jacob deGrom in the regular season, but his absence would have been difficult to overcome in the playoffs. So the Rangers bolstered their rotation by trading for another former Mets ace in Max Scherzer as well as adding southpaw Jordan Montgomery from the Cardinals.
Angels: +12500 to +7500
The Angels first announced they weren’t trading Shohei Ohtani ????, and then decided they would go down swinging in their potential last season with the generational talent. Los Angeles acquired White Sox starter Lucas Giolito along with Rockies bats C.J. Cron and Randal Grichuk.
Cubs: +15000 to +8000
Chicago landed switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario from the Nationals, but that’s not the top reason behind this shift. The Cubs have won 11 of 14 and now only find themselves 3.5 games out of a Wild Card spot.
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Max Meyer
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