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TUESDAY

The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

ACTION REPORT: The Giants aren’t the only ones high on Saquon

EXPERT PICKS: Best bets from big MLB and WNBA slates

BACK TO SCHOOL: Our favorite overs for Big 12 win totals

️ TEEING OFF: One golfer received a $3K bet to win 3M Open

ONE GIANT STEP FORWARD

ACTION REPORT

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Believe it or not, the Pro Football Hall of Fame Game is next week. But we still have quite a bit to go before the regular season kicks off. To help speed up the timeline, we have our daily NFL betting reports. We’ll be highlighting the betting action for individual teams in four Hustles per week, sorting them out by division.

We cross over to the NFC East today, starting with the Giants.

SUPER BOWL
Odds: Opened +4500 (18th), currently +4000 (T-17th)
Action: 1.2% tickets (20th), 1.8% handle (15th)

WIN TOTAL
Odds: 7.5 (Over -110, Under -115)
Action: OVER 67% tickets, OVER 61% handle

DIVISION
Odds: Opened +550 (3rd), currently +650 (3rd)
Action: 16.0% tickets (2nd), 12.8% handle (3rd)

PERUSING THE PLAYERS

  The big news today in the NFL was the Giants and Saquon Barkley agreeing to terms on a new 1-year contract. With the star tailback now coming in for training camp, is he worth an Offensive Player of the Year bet? Barkley is positioned at +3300 for the award, and has snagged 2.6% of the tickets (T-12th) and 1.1% of the handle (16th) for this market.

There are 34 players who have gotten more MVP bets than Giants signal-caller Daniel Jones—including three rookie quarterbacks, three wide receivers and even a defensive player. Jones currently sits at +5000 for MVP, along with Matthew Stafford.

EXPERT PICKS

Ariel Epstein is rolling with a team total and a strikeout prop on the diamond, while Max Meyer notes an interesting discrepancy for his WNBA best bet.

THE PROP QUEEN

Reds Team Total Under 3.5 Runs (-115) [8:10 p.m. ET]
“Brewers ace Corbin Burnes has won each of his last four starts and has posted a 1.33 ERA in that span. In three starts against the Reds this season, he has a 2.50 ERA and .117 batting average allowed.”
Padres SP Blake Snell Over 7.5 K’s (-150) [9:40 p.m. ET]
“The Pirates have baseball’s 10th-highest strikeout rate against lefties. Snell has reached 8 strikeouts in three of his past four home starts, including double digits in two of them.”

THE SENIOR EDITOR

New York Liberty 1H -8.5 (-115) vs. Seattle Storm [7 p.m. ET]
“The Liberty often get out to big leads at home (third-best 17.3 Net Rating in 1H), but allow their opponents to claw back late (third-worst -4.1 Net Rating in 2H). Breanna Stewart torched her old team the last time these two played, and I see another fast start for New York here.”
SQUEEZE OUT THE JUICE

NO JUICE ALERT

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PointsBet is offering NO JUICE® ODDS on a run to be scored in the first inning in four MLB games: Orioles-Phillies, Mets-Yankees, Cubs-White Sox and Blue Jays-Dodgers. Make sure not to miss it during tonight’s Power Hour, starting at 6 p.m. ET. 

See Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

WIN TOTAL WISDOM

BACK TO SCHOOL

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Summer and schoolusually don’t mix too well, but in this instance, it’s an ideal time to take a look at the college football landscape.

We kick off Big 12 week, with former NFL QB Ryan Leaf and senior editor Max Meyer giving out their favorite win totals in the conference to go over.

LEAF: Kansas State Over 7.5 Wins (-190)

This is the defending Big 12 champ and Coach Klieman knows how to win in Manhattan. No matter what, the Wildcats are going to be underestimated coming into every single season for reasons unknown and they’ll continue to prove people wrong.

MEYER: Texas Over 9.5 Wins (-145)

Texas hasn’t finished with double-digit regular season wins since 2009. Steve Sarkisian has never reached 9 wins in a regular season. And yet, we’re buying these perennial underachievers this campaign.

Even with a non-conference road game at Alabama, I still think Texas goes over 9.5 because it’s in a different class compared to the rest of the Big 12. Quinn Ewers is one of the most talented QBs in the country, and hopefully his consistency improves with another year of working with Sark. While replacing Bijan Robinson is no easy task, the Longhorns return all five starting offensive linemen and have one of the best receiving corps in the country.

The defense made major strides in Year 2 under DC Pete Kwiatkowski. The Longhorns improved massively in yards per play allowed, going from 6.03 in 2021 (102nd) to 4.94 in 2022 (18th). They’re very strong up front, and their play in the trenches will overwhelm their conference foes. If Texas can improve its misfortune in close contests (2-5 in games decided by 7 points or fewer in 2022), this team will get to double-digit wins.

FORE THE WIN

TEEING OFF️

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EVENT: 2023 3M Open (Thurs-Sun)

WHY WE’LL WATCH: We still want our golf fix even though there are no more majors to look forward to this year.

COURSE INFO: TPC Twin Cities is an Arnold Palmer design that sits just north of Minneapolis. A par 72 that measures 7,164 yards, this course is known for its abundant water hazards that affect 15 of 18 holes. Golfers will need to hit the fairways and greens consistently if they want to stay out of the drink.

BRING THE ACTION: Cameron Young, a +1600 co-favorite, also leads in tickets to win the 3M Open with 5.0%. For handle, though, it’s Ludvig Aberg (+2800) at the top with a 16.4% mark in that category so far. One Virginia client put $1,333.33 on Aberg at +3000 and another $1,666.67 on Aberg at +2500 for a total potential payout of $84,666.65.

BET TO CONSIDER: Lucas Glover Top-10 Finish (+450)

With Glover coming off three straight top-6 finishes, this bet could have major value this week. Glover’s sharp putting and ball-striking skills should help him thrive on this course and finish near the top of the leaderboard in a wide-open field.

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