We are officially less than a month away from the NFL regular season kicking off. To help speed ???? up things during the home stretch, we have our daily NFL betting reports. We’ll be highlighting the betting action for individual teams in four Hustles per week, sorting them out by division.
We continue on in the NFC South with the Saints.
SUPER BOWL Odds: Opened +5500 (T-21st), currently +3500 (T-14th)
Action: 0.7% tickets (25th), 0.4% handle (25th)
WIN TOTAL Odds: 9.5 (Over +110, Under -135)
Action: OVER 62% tickets, OVER 63% handle
DIVISION Odds: Opened +220 (2nd), currently +120 (1st)
Action: 38.0% tickets (2nd), 41.8% handle (2nd)
PERUSING THE PLAYERS
???? Is Chris Olave primed for a massive Year 2 leap catching passes from Derek Carr ????? The Saints wideout opened at +8000 for Offensive Player of the Year and is currently residing at +3800. Olave has captured the 11th-most handle for this market at 2.2%.
???? One other Saint on the offensive side of the ball that has drawn betting interest is Kendre Miller. The third-round tailback was originally priced at +7000 for Offensive Rookie of the Year and has since come down to +3300. Miller ranks 10th with 1.3% of the handle to win the award ????.
Ariel Epstein is riding with a run line and a strikeout prop for her best bets, while Max Meyer has his eye on a big home underdog in the WNBA.
THE PROP QUEEN
Braves Run Line -1.5 (-105) @ Pirates [7:05 p.m. ET]
“The Braves have the highest road OPS in MLB. Pirates starter Mitch Keller has allowed at least 5 runs in his 3 career outings against Atlanta. If Keller has another short start, Pittsburgh doesn’t have a well-rested bullpen after using 6 relievers yesterday.”
“Against Taillon’s pitch mix, the Mets have the second-lowest K-rate in baseball. Taillon’s K% is 17.9 on the road this season compared to 21.7 at home.”
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Dallas Wings +8.5 (-115) vs. Las Vegas Aces [8 p.m. ET]
“The Wings have played the Aces tough in their three previous meetings this season. The Aces’ rebounding metrics have been down during Candace Parker’s absence, and the Wings had a big edge in offensive rebounds (15-3) in the last matchup minus Parker.”
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The best news when the calendar️ flips to August? That there will be live college football games on our screens later this month. After going through win totals and Heisman picks for each Power 5 conference, it’s now time to give out picks for conference futures.
Senior editor Max Meyer shares his best bet for conference winner, while former NFL quarterback Ryan Leaf provides a sleeper (+1000 odds or longer) that can make some noise. They take a look at the Big 12 today.
MEYER’S PICK TO WIN: Texas (-105)
For years, we’ve heard countless people incorrectly ❌ proclaim that “Texas is back.” While I don’t think the Longhorns are a top national title contender, they’re clearly the class of the Big 12. I’m a big believer in Quinn Ewers and his incredible arm. It also helps that Ewers has an elite receiving corps and all five starting offensive linemen back.
The key differentiator in this conference is having a defense that can get stops, and Texas has the pieces up front to really disrupt. Yes, there are always questions about whether head coach Steve Sarkisian can elevate his teams, but he doesn’t have any excuses this year with this loaded roster.
LEAF’S SLEEPER: Texas Tech (+1000)
Last year marked the first time that the Red Raiders beat Texas and Oklahoma in the same season. Their recruiting has been bonkers since hiring Joey McGuire. Tyler Shough is going to be this year’s Max Duggan.
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