The PointsBet Hustle™ is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
THE MAIN EVENT: Can massive home wildcard faves stay perfect?
EXPERT PICKS: Ryan, Ariel and Jay are down on the Seahawks
POWER HOUR: Bet Credit for Chargers-Jags!
HEROES & ZEROS: The season’s best and worst spread performers
KEY FACTS: San Fran has outscored its opponents by 16+ points per contest during its 10-game winning streak, and the Niners held Seattle to a total of 97 rushing yards during their two clashes. That drooling sound you hear is coming from Nick Bosa, who has sacked Geno Smith three times this season.
TRENDING: The Seahawks have covered only one of their last eight games. Wild-card home favorites of 9+ points are 11-0 ATS over the past 30 seasons.
EXPERT PICKS
PointsBet personalities Ryan Leaf and Ariel Epstein do not expect much from Geno Smith. NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher piles on with an anti-Seahawks prop.
THE BIG NAME
49ers -10 vs. Seahawks (-110)
"SF has the most complete team. Weather will limit Brock Purdy and Geno, and the running game disparity will be on full display."
Jaguars +2.5 vs. Chargers (-110)
"The Mike Williams injury cannot be underestimated. The Jags have the better coach. Brandon Staley gets fired on the tarmac, and in waltzes Sean Payton."
THE PROP QUEEN
Seahawks Team Total Under 16.5 (-130)
"Rain is expected, and the Seahawks combined for just 20 points in their two matchups with the Niners."
Justin Herbert Over 38.5 Pass Attempts (-115)
"The Jags have a top-10 run defense, but their corners are young and the team allows the 7th most pass attempts to QBs."
THE ACE CAPPER
Jaguars +2.5 vs. Chargers (-110)
"The Jags' weakness is its secondary. But without Mike Williams, the Chargers cannot exploit it."
DK Metcalf Under 60.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
"He tallied 35 and 55 in two games against SF, and he's playing in rough weather against the Niners' top corner, Charvarius Ward."
PointsBet will drop a Bet credit into your account Saturday for the Chargers-Jaguars game. Use the credit between 6-7 P.M. ET on a Same Game Parlay (pregame or Live)! The credit is good for all states but NY.
See Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
Trevor Lawrence fired only one TD pass over his last three games. Who cares? Prop bettors. (AP Photo)
Here’s how we we’d bet tonight’s Chargers (-2.5) @ Jaguars game (8:15 p.m. ET).
[$35] Jags QB Trevor Lawrence Under ⬇️ 245.5 passing yards (-115): After topping that total eight straight times, Golden Locks hasn’t come close in the last three. Plus expect the Jags to concentrate on the Chargers’ weak run ‘D.’
[$30] Total Under (47): Under ↘️ bettors thrived this season, going 149-119-3. That 55.6% clip is the highest in 32 years. Why stop now? The run-first Jags will bleed the clock.
[$25] Chargers QB Justin Herbert 300+ passing yards (+140): Only four teams have allowed more passing yards than the Jags, who rarely breathe on opposing QBs.
[$10] Chargers WR Keenan Allen First TD (+850): Expect the Bolts ⚡ to set the tone by going for the jugular, launching a long ball to their best receiver.
The wild thing about Austin Ekeler? He went undrafted out of Western Colorado.
Our four faves:
Jaguars WR Christian Kirk Over 56.5 receiving yards and 1+ TD(+350): When not blasting LA’s suspect rush defense, the Jags will take some shots down the field to their top WR.
Chargers RB Austin Ekeler 50+ rushing yards(-120): Ekeler got smothered (4 carries, 5 yards) when these teams met in Week 3. But the Eks factor cannot be ignored.
Seahawks QB Geno Smith Under ⬇️ 1.5 TDs (-250): Smith completed only one TD pass in Seattle’s two games against the Niners.
49ers TE George Kittle 50+ receiving yards (+120): Kittle’s stats should be Purdy darn good against a Seahawks team that allows the league’s most receiving yards to TEs.
Lamar Jackson won't need his helmet Sunday, either. (AP Photo)
The NFL’s new wild-card math: Two today, three Sunday, one Monday night.
Dolphins (+13.5) @ Bills (1 p.m. ET Sun): Miami will need a miracle from third-stringer Skylar Thompson to compete with Josh Allen and the Mafia.
Giants (+3) @ Vikings (4:30 p.m. ET Sun): The spread seems right given that their last meeting was decided by Greg Joseph’s 61-yard field goal.
Ravens (+8.5) @ Bengals (8:15 p.m. ET Sun): Who will start at QB for the Ravens? We know who won’t – Lamar Jax.
Cowboys (-2.5) @ Bucs (8:15 p.m. ET Mon): Will Tom Brady keep his undefeated record (7-0) against the Boys intact – and send Mike McCarthy to the unemployment line?
Teddy G
Have any complaints, compliments or betting questions?
