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FRIDAY

Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

🥊 BATTLE OF THE BETTORS: Sharps vs. public divide in Bills-Bengals

🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Two NBA experts share their favorite player props

🥳 PROP-A-PALOOZA: A surprising under has gotten very strong action

🔮 BEHOLD, THE FUTURE: A sleeper pick to win NBA in-season tourney

AGREE TO DISAGREE

BATTLE 🥊 OF THE BETTORS

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights

There may not be a better slate in terms of marquee matchups all regular season than NFL Week 9. But have any of those spreads seen big discrepancies in action between tickets and handle?

There are three contests where one team is getting the majority of the bets to cover while the other is receiving the majority of the money to do so 🤔. Let’s dive deeper into these fascinating splits.

Bills at Bengals
Line Movement: Opened Bengals -1, now Bengals -2
Spread Action: Bengals 54.4% tickets, Bills 66.3% handle
Bottom Line: After the Bengals started off at -1, they reached as high as -3 on Monday and Tuesday. The spread has been creeping down throughout the week, reaching as low as Bengals -1.5 earlier today before coming up slightly to -2.

Giants at Raiders
Line Movement: Opened Raiders -3, now Raiders -1.5
Spread Action: Raiders 55.4% tickets, Giants 67.1% handle
Bottom Line: Even with Daniel Jones slated to return under center, the Giants are still underdogs to a team that just cleaned house with its staff and gave its fourth-round rookie quarterback the starting nod 🤣.

Chargers at Jets
Line Movement: Opened Chargers -4, now Chargers -3.5
Spread Action: Chargers 54.8% tickets, Jets 82.3% handle
Bottom Line: The Jets have pulled off outright upsets as home underdogs against the Bills and Eagles, and gave the Chiefs all they could handle as well. There’s been interesting action on this MNF total as well, with it dropping from 42.5 to 40.

EXPERT PICKS

Kazeem "Kaz" Famuyide and Daniel Parisi are ready for the NBA in-season tournament to tip off tonight with three player props.

THE NBA GURU

Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 Threes (+145) [7:30 p.m. ET]
“Brunson has had the green light all season long to fire from deep. The Bucks have struggled to defend the perimeter without Jrue Holiday.”
Luka Doncic Under 47.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-120) [10 p.m. ET]
"Luka's insane start hasn’t come against the strongest competition. I think he comes back to earth a bit with a major step up in competition against the defending champs.”

THE AGREEABLE ACE

Michael Porter Jr. Under 6.5 Rebounds (-110)
“Porter Jr.’s two-way game is anchored by his defensive rebounding. The Nuggets give him the green light to hit the glass and the Mavs are last in the NBA in contested rebound percentage.”
WHO DOESN'T LOVE A BONUS?

BONUS BET ON THE HOUSE 🏠

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative

We’re giving out a BONUS BET during tonight’s Power 💪 Hour (starting at 6 p.m. ET)! 

This bonus bet will be given out in all states but NY. See the Promotions page on the app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

SAY IT AIN'T SO, JOE

PROP-A-PALOOZA 🥳

Joe Burrow was as high as +4000 for NFL MVP, but now he's down to +2000.

Typically we highlight many popular NFL player props each week, however this week there’s a curious development. One player prop stands alone in action in terms of both tickets and handle, so let’s just highlight that one instead.

Joe Burrow is all the way back after a calf injury marred his first month of the season. Yet, not only is Burrow under 1.5 passing touchdowns (now +125, was +160) leading all Week 9 player props in tickets and handle, it’s drawn over two times more handle than any other player prop 🤯.

We brought in trader Ethan Useloff to help explain why that’s the case.

ASK THE TRADER: Burrow has led the Bengals 🐅 to three straight wins, and he’s tossed 8 TD passes over that span. Despite his standout play of late, we’ve gotten very strong action on Burrow under 1.5 TD passes against the Bills. This likely stems from the strength of the Bills’ defense, which has only allowed two QBs to throw for multiple TDs in the first eight games. Buffalo is also tied for second in sacks this season, so Burrow may be less effective if he’s consistently getting pressured.

THE SHARP ANGLE

BEHOLD, THE FUTURE 🔮

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative

Zack is so sharp on Futures/prop betting, he is feared by nearly every major sportsbook. We hired him to arm clients with the knowledge 🧠 they crave. Follow him on Twitter ➡️ zackonomics.

Dallas Mavericks — NBA in-season tournament winner (+2200)

With a new tournament in a format we’ve never seen before, I’m looking for value down the board without any expectations the cream will rise to the top. I do not expect the veteran-laden teams who made drastic personnel moves (Bucks, Suns, Clippers) to excel in this format, which simply pays prize money and a trip to Vegas 🎰 for the winners.

The young, exciting teams who have never won anything significant (Kings, Thunder, Nets) are where I’m digging into. But perhaps the most intriguing squad is the 4-0 Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs lack defense, which won’t hurt them nearly as much in this tournament compared to a grueling best-of-7 playoff series.

Luka Doncic is well on his way to contending for regular season MVP 🏆. I would not be surprised to see him and Kyrie Irving outscore their opponents and escape the West Group B enroute to claiming the first-ever prize pool in Sin City.

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