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SUNDAY

Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

📊 ACTION REPORT: One spread bet is most popular and lopsided

🔥 EXPERT PICKS: A QB passing and a QB rushing prop to target

📺 MARQUEE MATCHUP: Which Vikings prop do bettors love?

🧑‍⚖️ MAKE THE CASE: These 0-2 dogs can pull off surprising upsets

BRING THE ACTION

ACTION REPORT 📊

The tightest Week 3 spread action is Colts-Ravens, with Baltimore (-7.5) collecting 53.2% of the handle.

Who’s ready for another jam-packed NFL Sunday? Let’s see 👀 which sides have been generating noteworthy action so far for Week 3.

Most Spread Tickets: Lions (opened -5, now -3 vs. Falcons)

Most Spread Handle: Lions

Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Tickets: Seahawks 82.8% (opened -4.5, now -5 vs. Panthers)

Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Handle: Lions 91.1%

Biggest Discrepancy Between Tickets and Handle: Dolphins 77.2% tickets, Broncos 54.4% handle (Dolphins opened -6.5, now -5.5)

Most Total Tickets: Chargers-Vikings OVER (opened 51.5, now 54.5)

Most Total Handle: Broncos-Dolphins OVER (opened 47, now 47.5)

Underdog With Most Moneyline Bets: Titans, now +150 at Browns

Underdog With Most Moneyline Handle: Bears, now +550 at Chiefs

OUTSTANDING OFFER

BONUS BET ON THE HOUSE 🏠

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative

Fanatics just made this NFL Week 3 Power 💪 Hour even bigger, as everyone’s DAILY SGP BONUS BET today is doubled!

Make sure to take advantage starting at 12 p.m. ET by using it on any 3+ leg Same Game Parlay (pre-game or live). See the Promotions page on the app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

EXPERT PICKS

Ryan Leaf thinks there is value with these two teams to cover after they got blown out in Week 2. Ariel Epstein has a pair of quarterback props, one passing and one rushing.

THE SIGNAL-CALLER

Jets +2.5 (-105) vs. Patriots [1 p.m. ET]
“I’m all over the 2.5 here, I think the Jets probably win this outright. I see this being a very up-and-down year for the Jets after losing Aaron Rodgers, and they can flip things here after getting blown out last week.”
Raiders -3 (-105) vs. Steelers [8:20 p.m. ET]
“Pittsburgh just can’t generate much offensively. Steelers OC Matt Canada and QB Kenny Pickett just can't seem to find the right mix.”

THE PROP QUEEN

Falcons QB Desmond Ridder Over 185.5 Passing Yards (-120) [1 p.m. ET]
“Ridder is coming off a 237-yard effort against the Packers. The Lions rank in the bottom 10 in passing yards allowed both this season and last season. It doesn’t help that safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson is out for the season with a torn pec.”
Broncos QB Russell Wilson Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-110) [1 p.m. ET]
“Last season, Wilson had at least 17 rushing yards against bottom-10 defenses in QB rushing yards allowed. Miami is bottom 5 in that category since 2022, and both Justin Herbert and Mac Jones topped 15.5 against this defense this season.”
MUST-WIN MADNESS

MARQUEE MATCHUP 📺

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights

OPENING KICKOFF: 1 p.m. ET

WHY WE’RE WATCHING: So how come we made a battle of 0-2 teams the Sunday marquee matchup? If there’s anything we know about these two teams, it will be a close game with an absolutely bizarre finish. It’s also extremely important for both squads that they don’t drop this one – since 2002, just one team (2018 Texans) out of 99 that started 0-3 made the playoffs 🤯.

MAKING MOVES: There has been interesting odds movement for both this spread and total. The favorite has flipped multiple times here, with the line first going from Chargers -1.5 to Vikings -1 and then back to Chargers -0.5 this morning. The total has swung by 3 points after jumping from 51.5 to 54.5 🎆. This is the NFL’s highest Week 3 total by 6.5 points and could also close as the NFL’s highest total this season (Lions-Chiefs was 53).

TOP PROP: It’s not a surprise to see Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown (-105) leading in both tickets and handle since he’s going up against the NFL’s worst pass defense through two weeks. Jefferson has also gotten the most tickets and handle among all anytime touchdown props on the entire Week 3 slate.

KEEP AN EYE ON: Jefferson also has the NFL’s highest receiving yards prop today at 100.5. But fellow pass-catcher Jordan Addison’s receiving yards prop has risen from 45.5 to 50.5, with 96.8% of the tickets and 95.6% of the handle coming in on the over. The first-round rookie has reached at least 60 receiving yards in each of his first two contests.

UNDERDOGS OVERDELIVER

MAKE THE CASE 🧑‍⚖️

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative

Senior editor Max Meyer will be sharing his favorite moneyline underdog upset picks for both college football and NFL in weekend Hustle editions. He’s feeling extra bold today by backing a pair of 0-2 teams going up against current betting favorites to win their respective divisions.

Broncos +210 at Dolphins [1 p.m. ET]
The Dolphins are really going to miss Jaylen Waddle in this matchup. Waddle is out after suffering a concussion, and the Broncos will get to line up All-Pro cornerback Patrick Surtain II on Tyreek Hill. Not that covering Hill is an easy task, but it does seem easier when having to just focus on him compared to Waddle as well.

I’ve also been surprised by how quickly Sean Payton seems to have turned around this Broncos offense. Denver is averaging the most points per possession in the entire NFL 😮 and looked more dynamic with Jerry Jeudy back in the fold in Week 2. I’ll take my chances here with an 0-2 team that’s hungry after coming up short in two close losses.

Texans +300 at Jaguars [1 p.m. ET]
This spread has come crashing down from Jaguars +9.5 to +7 throughout the week. The Texans have lost their first two games by double digits. But they performed better than those scores would indicate, as Houston actually outgained its opponents in both games. But while the Texans have been able to move the ball down the field, an NFL-worst 16.7% red-zone touchdown rate 😬 has hampered the scoring.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars’ 8-point home loss to the Chiefs looks worse when you factor in how they got dominated in yards per play (Chiefs 6.2, Jaguars 4.2) and stayed afloat with three turnovers forced. There are still major concerns with a Jaguars defense that had trouble handling rookie Anthony Richardson, and Texans QB C.J. Stroud has looked the best throwing the ball of any first-year signal-caller.

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