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TUESDAY

Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

🤔 ASK THE TRADER: Are all these NFL unders impacting odds for totals?

🔥 EXPERT PICKS: An SEC underdog to target tonight for CBB

🏆 AWARDS TOUR: Who are the awards favorites at the NFL halfway point?

🏫 BACK TO SCHOOL: Pac-12 QBs battling it out at the top for Heisman

TOTAL CHAOS

ASK THE TRADER 🤔

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights

It was another big week for NFL unders, as they went 11-3 in NFL Week 9 to move to 82-53-1 (60.7%) on the season. That includes all three prime-time games, as unders are now a remarkable 22-7 (75.9%) 🤯 in night games this season.

According to Action Network, this is the highest rate that NFL unders have hit since 1991.

We brought in trader Wyatt Satre to discuss whether betting patterns have changed on totals and if it will impact setting odds on totals going forward this season.

ASK THE TRADER: Bettors have definitely noticed 👀 how strong unders have been and it’s been a far more popular play compared to early in the season. From the start of the season to October 1, 38% of the handle for straight bets on totals was on the under. From October 2 to November 5, that number is up to 53% on the under. I’d say the market has slightly adjusted with lower totals given scoring in 2022 was 43.8 and this season is 43.4, but wouldn’t say it’s caused a dramatic impact and it’s important not to overreact.

EXPERT PICKS

Max Meyer picks a side in tonight's marquee college basketball matchup, while Daniel Parisi has his eye on an NBA futures play with value.

THE SENIOR EDITOR

Auburn +1 (-110) vs. Baylor [9 p.m. ET]
“Auburn gets a major boost with injury news with leading scorer Johni Broome and 5-star PG Aden Holloway expected to play. Baylor had major issues defending close to the basket last season, allowing a CBB-worst 71.3% shooting percentage in shots at the rim.”

THE AGREEABLE ACE

NBA Sixth Man of the Year: Tim Hardaway Jr. (+700)
“The Mavs have gotten major scoring punch with their second unit, led by THJ at 18.1 PPG. He’s getting the green light to shoot (14.4 shots per game) and he’ll get the chance to close out with the starters.”
OUTSTANDING OFFER

BONUS BET ON THE HOUSE 🏠

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We’re giving out a BONUS BET during tonight’s Power 💪 Hour (starting at 6 p.m. ET)! 

This bonus bet will be given out in all states but NY. See the Promotions page on the app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

WE'RE HALFWAY THERE

AWARDS TOUR 🏆

Tyreek Hill was +1600 for OPOY before the season, the longest odds of any of the current award favorites.

The NFL 🏈 season is officially past the halfway point, and we have some midseason awards to give out. Here are the current favorites for the six awards markets available.

MVP: Patrick Mahomes (+300)
Mahomes also entered the season as the +600 MVP favorite, however Jalen Hurts (+325) and Lamar Jackson (+350) are now both nipping at his heels.

Offensive Player of the Year: Tyreek Hill (+140)
Hill is looking to become the first wideout ever to get 2,000 receiving yards in a season. Christian McCaffrey (+150) is tied for the most consecutive games ever with a touchdown. This is a true heavyweight battle 🥊.

Defensive Player of the Year: Myles Garrett/Micah Parsons (+175)
Not only is DPOY the only awards market that currently has a pair of co-favorites, but the third choice (T.J. Watt) is right behind at +200.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: C.J. Stroud (-2000)
Stroud wasn’t even in the top 4 in OROY odds when the season kicked off. Now he’s the heaviest favorite for any award.

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Jalen Carter (-200)
Carter has four sacks so far this season, which is more than the two defensive linemen combined that went ahead of him in the draft (Will Anderson Jr., Tyree Wilson) 😮.

Coach of the Year: Dan Campbell (+150)
While Campbell is the favorite, is another NFC North coach gaining steam? Keep an eye on Kevin O’Connell (+1500) — the Vikings are the No. 7 seed in the NFC playoff picture despite losing Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson.

HELLOOO HEISMAN

BACK TO SCHOOL 🏫

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Who would’ve guessed that the two top Heisman contenders in early November would be from the Pac-12 … and 2022 winner Caleb Williams ✌️ (+20000) isn’t one of them?

Michael Penix Jr. was tied for the fifth-lowest Heisman odds at +1400 when the season kicked off, while Bo Nix was close behind at +1600. The two Pac-12 quarterbacks have created some distance from the rest of the pack, with Michigan’s J.J. McCarthy in third at +700 and Florida State’s Jordan Travis next at +750.

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