The PointsBet Hustle™ is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
THE MAIN EVENT: Public-sharp clash on Bills-Pats
EXPERT PICKS: Ryan, Jay AND Ariel offer their Sunday best
POWER HOUR: NFL Lightning Bet credits!
HUSTLE BOOST: A way to pull for the Bills & Bengals
KEY FACTS: Will Damar Hamlin’s glorious recovery inspire the Bills? Or might Buffalo lack an edge? The Bills need to win to lock up the AFC’s No. 2 seed, while the Patriots can clinch a playoff berth with a ‘W.’ The Bills dominated their Week 12 matchup, holding New England to 60 rushing yards in a 24-10 drubbing.
TRENDING: The Patriots have been patsies against winning teams, failing to cover four straight.
INSIGHT: America wants the Bills to win – and cover. But while 71% of tickets are on Buffalo, 56% of the cash is on Belichick.
EXPERT PICKS
Our new PointsBet capper is Ariel Epstein, aka "The Prop Queen." She joins PointsBet studio host Ryan Leaf and NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher on a packed NFL Sunday.
THE PROP QUEEN
Mac Jones Over 33.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
"If the Pats are playing from behind, he'll throw a ton against a defense that yields 35.3 per game. That's ninth most in the NFL."
Jamaal Williams Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
"He rushed for 81 yards on 24 carries the last time these teams met. And Green Bay is bottom-10 against the run."
THE BIG NAME
Steelers/Browns SGP: Steelers -2.5 & Under 40.5 (+230)
"While the Browns dream of off-season beaches, the Steelers play for a ton. Scoring will be at a premium. Pittsburgh 17, Cleveland 7."
Packers -5 vs. Lions (-110)
"The Lions will know their fate after Seattle wins. The Packers have everything to play for."
THE BRAIN
Vikings -6.5 vs. Bears (-115)
"With Nathan Peterman at QB, Chicago may have the worst offense and defense in the league."
Eagles -16 vs. Giants (-110)
"Giants starters lost by 26 to Philly a month ago. The backups will do well to get that close."
The Joes are fading old man Joe Flacco. Understandably. The Pros are fading rookie Skylar Thompson. Understandably.
2. Chargers (+3) @ Broncos
Pros: Broncos 61% handle
Joes: Chargers 65% tickets
The betting public loves Justin Herbert – maybe it’s the curls. The Pros did their homework and figured the Bolts would rest him. As a result this line has tilted 5.5 points toward Denver.
3. Cardinals @ 49ers; Total 39.5
Pros: Under 72% handle
Joes: Over 59% tickets
The Joes see a sub-40 Over/Under and pounce. And hey, Deebo Samuel is back! The sharps figure that fourth-string QB David Blough (rhymes with Plow) will find the sledding tough against San Fran.
Can Geno Smith guide the Seahawks to a 9-8 season -- and win Comeback Player of the Year? (AP Photo)
Our three faves:
Bengals RB Joe Mixon Over 50.5 rushing yards (-120): The Ravens are rough on ballcarriers, but Mixon is way better (90 yards per game) when playing in Cincy.
Steelers QB Kenny Pickett Under 1.5 passing TDs (-240): Pickett doesn’t flick it to the end zone often: He has zero games with multiple TD passes. And the Browns are stingy.
Seahawks QB Geno Smith Over 300 passing yards (+350): He lit up the Rams last month (367 yards). And how’s this for an L.A. story – a playoff berth is on the line.
Here’s how we’d bet the SNF (8:20 p.m. ET) duel : Lions (+5) @ Packers:
[$35] Packers WR Allen Lazard ⬆️ 50.5 receiving yards (-115): He torched the Lions in earlier meeting (10 catches, 87 yards) and Aaron Rodgers has targeted him 30 times more than any teammate.
[$20] on Packers QB Aaron Rodgers ⬆️ 1.5 passing TDs (-135): Rodgers was fed to the Lions during their last meeting – a 3-INT stinker. History won’t repeat against Motown’s 30th-ranked pass ‘D.’
[$30] on the Under (49): The Lions have gone Over in seven of their last eight, but Jared Goff (0-4 ATS in “freezing” temps) is not built for the great outdoors.
[$15] on Lions RB D’Andre Swift ⬆️ 35.5 rushing yards (-120): Not much to ask considering the Pack rank 26th in rushing defense.
Teddy G
Have any complaints, compliments or betting questions?
