The PointsBet Hustle™ is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
🏈 THE MAIN EVENT: Public-sharp clash on Bills-Pats
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Ryan, Jay AND Ariel offer their Sunday best
💪 POWER HOUR: NFL Lightning Bet credits!
🚀 HUSTLE BOOST: A way to pull for the Bills & Bengals
KEY FACTS: Will Damar Hamlin’s glorious recovery 🏥 inspire the Bills? Or might Buffalo lack an edge? The Bills need to win to lock up the AFC’s No. 2 seed, while the Patriots can clinch a playoff berth with a ‘W.’ The Bills dominated their Week 12 matchup, holding New England to 60 rushing yards in a 24-10 drubbing.
TRENDING: The Patriots have been patsies against winning teams, failing to cover four straight 🤷🏽.
INSIGHT: America wants the Bills to win – and cover. But while 71% of tickets are on Buffalo, 56% of the cash 💰 is on Belichick.
EXPERT PICKS
Our new PointsBet capper is Ariel Epstein, aka "The Prop Queen." She joins PointsBet studio host Ryan Leaf and NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher on a packed NFL Sunday.
THE PROP QUEEN
Mac Jones Over 33.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
"If the Pats are playing from behind, he'll throw a ton against a defense that yields 35.3 per game. That's ninth most in the NFL."
Jamaal Williams Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
"He rushed for 81 yards on 24 carries the last time these teams met. And Green Bay is bottom-10 against the run."
THE BIG NAME
Steelers/Browns SGP: Steelers -2.5 & Under 40.5 (+230)
"While the Browns dream of off-season beaches, the Steelers play for a ton. Scoring will be at a premium. Pittsburgh 17, Cleveland 7."
Packers -5 vs. Lions (-110)
"The Lions will know their fate after Seattle wins. The Packers have everything to play for."
THE BRAIN
Vikings -6.5 vs. Bears (-115)
"With Nathan Peterman at QB, Chicago may have the worst offense and defense in the league."
Eagles -16 vs. Giants (-110)
"Giants starters lost by 26 to Philly a month ago. The backups will do well to get that close."
💡 The Joes are fading old man Joe Flacco. Understandably. The Pros are fading rookie Skylar Thompson. Understandably.
2. Chargers (+3) @ Broncos
Pros: Broncos 61% handle
Joes: Chargers 65% tickets
💡 The betting public loves Justin Herbert – maybe it’s the curls. The Pros did their homework and figured the Bolts would rest him. As a result this line has tilted 5.5 points toward Denver.
3. Cardinals @ 49ers; Total 39.5
Pros: Under 72% handle
Joes: Over 59% tickets
💡 The Joes see a sub-40 Over/Under and pounce. And hey, Deebo Samuel is back! The sharps figure that fourth-string QB David Blough (rhymes with Plow) will find the sledding tough against San Fran.
Can Geno Smith guide the Seahawks to a 9-8 season -- and win Comeback Player of the Year? (AP Photo)
Our three faves:
Bengals RB Joe Mixon Over 50.5 rushing yards (-120): The Ravens are rough on ballcarriers, but Mixon is way better (90 yards per game) when playing in Cincy.
Steelers QB Kenny Pickett Under 1.5 passing TDs (-240): Pickett doesn’t flick it to the end zone often: He has zero games with multiple TD passes. And the Browns are stingy.
Seahawks QB Geno Smith Over 300 passing yards (+350): He lit up the Rams last month (367 yards). And how’s this for an L.A. story 🎥 – a playoff berth is on the line.
Here’s how we’d bet the SNF (8:20 p.m. ET) duel : Lions (+5) @ Packers:
🏈 [$35] Packers WR Allen Lazard ⬆️ 50.5 receiving yards (-115): He torched the Lions in earlier meeting (10 catches, 87 yards) and Aaron Rodgers has targeted him 30 times more than any teammate.
🏈 [$20] on Packers QB Aaron Rodgers ⬆️ 1.5 passing TDs (-135): Rodgers was fed to the Lions during their last meeting – a 3-INT stinker. History won’t repeat against Motown’s 30th-ranked pass ‘D.’
🏈 [$30] on the Under (49): The Lions have gone Over in seven of their last eight, but Jared Goff (0-4 ATS in “freezing” temps) is not built for the great outdoors.
🏈 [$15] on Lions RB D’Andre Swift ⬆️ 35.5 rushing yards (-120): Not much to ask considering the Pack rank 26th in rushing defense.
Teddy G
Have any complaints, compliments or betting questions?
