Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
📊 ACTION REPORT: The most popular NFL MVP bet … isn’t a QB!
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Best bets for the World Series and MACtion
📈 MARKET MOVERS: Does Harden still have big impact on title odds?
📺 MARQUEE MATCHUP: Latest action for Game 4 of World Series
Not only is it a tight NFL MVP race, but the action has been quite divided as well. Four players have racked up a double-digit percentage of the NFL MVP handle 💵, and they aren’t separated by much. So let’s see which players have gotten the most wallet share to win this award.
1. Christian McCaffrey (+4000): 11.8% handle
McCaffrey entered the history books by tying Lenny Moore’s record of 17 straight games scoring a touchdown. Unfortunately for his MVP case, the 49ers have dropped three straight and lost the NFC West division top spot to the Seahawks.
2. Patrick Mahomes (+250): 10.9% handle
Not everyone can have a flu game 🤒 like Michael Jordan. Even after a rough performance against the Broncos, Mahomes still remained the MVP favorite despite rising from +175 to +250.
3. Jalen Hurts (+300): 10.3% handle
The Eagles have the NFL’s best record at 7-1, however Hurts’ MVP chances will be riding on this brutal 6-game stretch starting this Sunday—vs. Cowboys, at Chiefs, vs. Bills, vs. 49ers, at Cowboys and at Seahawks.
4. Tua Tagovailoa (+350): 10.1% handle
Tagovailoa isn’t the only Dolphin 🐬 generating serious awards buzz. Miami wideout Tyreek Hill is the current Offensive Player of the Year favorite at +110, just edging out McCaffrey at +160.
EXPERT PICKS
Ariel Epstein thinks that the World Series will be all tied up tonight, while Max Meyer is dipping his toe into MACtion.
THE PROP QUEEN
Diamondbacks ML (-115) vs. Rangers [8:03 p.m. ET]
“With Game 4 setting up to be a battle of the bullpens, I trust Arizona’s more. The Rangers could be without their best hitter of the postseason after Adolis Garcia suffered an oblique strain in Game 3.”
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Buffalo +15 (-110) at Toledo [7:30 p.m. ET]
“Toledo HC Jason Candle has lost at least once as a double-digit favorite in MAC play in each of the last four seasons. Toledo is 0-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite against MAC teams this season, including two wins by one score.”
Even with adding James Harden, the Clippers only rank 11th in NBA title handle at 1.7%.
It’s NFL trade deadline day, but the NBA stole the spotlight with the 76ers dealing James Harden to the Clippers. This is Harden’s fourth team in four seasons, as he now joins Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Russell Westbrook in his quest for a championship 🏆.
For NBA title futures, the Clippers shifted from +1800 to +1400 while the 76ers swung from +2000 to +2800. The Clippers still have the seventh-lowest NBA title odds, though they’ve gained significant ground on the Lakers and Warriors (both at +1200).
We called on trader Wyatt Satre for his two cents on the trade’s impact.
ASK THE TRADER: If you look at the implied probability of the shifts, we basically lowered the Clippers and rose the Sixers the same amount. I’m not sure how eager people will be to bet on the Clippers to win the title given the number of quality players that Harden has teamed up with in the past. But if he does buy into the Clippers’ system, you’ll definitely see their odds lower even more given all that star ⭐ power.
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
FIRST PITCH: 8:03 p.m. ET
KEY FACTS: The Rangers are 9-0 on the road during the MLB postseason and closed as underdogs 🐶 in eight of those games. Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte is currently riding an 18-game playoff hitting streak, which is an MLB record.
MAKING MOVES: Texas opened as a slight -115 road favorite over Arizona, however it’s flipped to Diamondbacks -115 to take home Game 4. The total has crept down from 9.5 to 9, though the over is favored at -120 with the under residing at +100.
TOP PROP: Rangers starter Andrew Heaney’s strikeout prop is set at 2.5 😮, with the over at -145 and the under at +110. Heaney over strikeouts has brought in over three times more handle than any other player prop for Game 4.
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