Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
📺 MARQUEE MATCHUP: Can Vikings keep it close vs. 49ers?
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Two MNF best bets and an MLB under
📈 MARKET MOVERS: Huge shift leads to new Heisman fave
📊 ACTION REPORT: Wemby is only third in NBA ROY action
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
KEY FACTS: The Vikings are the only NFL team to have all of their games decided by one score this season 😮. While the 49ers have been dominant at home with eight straight double-digit wins, they’ve only accomplished that feat once in their past five road contests.
CHASING HISTORY:Christian McCaffrey has scored a touchdown in 15 consecutive games, including the postseason. That is tied for the second-longest streak in NFL history, and he’s two games shy of Lenny Moore’s record of 17 straight. McCaffrey is -180 to find the end zone tonight, the only odds-on favorite to score a TD on MNF.
SHARPS VS. PUBLIC: There is a major discrepancy here between the tickets and handle on the spread. San Francisco has captured 74.4% of the tickets, however the line is still 49ers -7 after opening there with Minnesota corralling 71.1% of the handle 💵.
TOP PROPS: McCaffrey anytime touchdown has received the most tickets of any player prop, but it’s actually a 49ers wideout that has drawn the most handle on one of his props.
Brandon Aiyuk over receiving yards has shot up from 65.5 to 75.5 with fellow pass-catcher Deebo Samuel ruled out with a shoulder injury. Among all bets placed on Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop, the over has come away with 92.6% of the tickets and 96.8% of the handle.
EXPERT PICKS
Two-sport star Ariel Epstein is rolling with two unders, one for the MLB playoffs and another for MNF. Max Meyer isn't afraid to back a home underdog getting a touchdown against the Super Bowl favorite.
THE PROP QUEEN
Rangers at Astros: Under 9 Runs (-115) [8:03 p.m. ET]
“A whopping 70% of Game 7s have gone under 9 runs since 1909. Astros SP Cristian Javier has allowed 2 runs in his last 22 playoff innings. Max Scherzer may have a short leash, but the Rangers bullpen has been one of the MLB’s best this postseason.”
49ers TE George Kittle Under 50.5 Receiving Yards (-125) [8:15 p.m. ET]
“The Vikings have allowed the fifth-fewest yards per game to tight ends (31.7). Kittle has gone under 20 yards against all three top-10 tight end defenses that he’s faced.”
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Vikings +7 (-115) vs. 49ers
“Brock Purdy has struggled much more against pressure than throwing in clean pockets. Now he faces a blitz-happy Vikings defense without top OL Trent Williams. The Vikings have lost an NFL-high nine fumbles, and I'd have to think that bad turnover luck turns around.”
Great news: You can take advantage of MNF with a BONUS BET on us 😃! If you’re trying to figure out how to use it, we have a suggestion.
Here at the Hustle, we share noteworthy betting action every single edition. So we turned it into a parlay that is now being offered every TNF and MNF.
The “Hustle’s People Parlay” will feature the game’s three most popular player prop bets by tickets from your fellow bettors. Instead of trusting one person’s opinion, we’re rolling with the opinion of thousands 🧠.
After the “Hustle’s People Parlay” cashed last TNF, let’s go for two in a row tonight.
For tonight’s clash between the 49ers and Vikings, the most popular player props by tickets are Christian McCaffrey anytime touchdown, George Kittle anytime touchdown and Brandon Aiyuk 80+ receiving yards. The “Hustle’s People Parlay” pays out +900 and you can find it already built on the betting app homepage up until kickoff.
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
After another exciting weekend of football, we saw some major movement for key awards. Let’s recap the notable risers and fallers.
🏈 Patrick Mahomes is back as the MVP favorite at +175, which is the lowest price any player has had this season for this award. Mahomes was +375 entering the weekend, just behind Tua Tagovailoa at +350. Tua is now in the third spot at +575.
🏈 Another big NFL MVP jump belonged to Lamar Jackson, who swung from +1500 to +750 after an incredible performance against the Lions 🦁. Conversely, Josh Allen’s odds rose from +650 to +1200 following a disappointing loss to the Patriots.
🏈 There’s a new name atop the Heisman odds board as well, thanks to J.J. McCarthy’s noteworthy shift from +1000 to +175. Michael Penix Jr. had a sizable lead heading into last Saturday at -150, but the Washington QB is currently the second choice at +300.
🏈 It appears we won’t be seeing a repeat Heisman winner once again. Just two weeks ago, Caleb Williams was the +250 Heisman favorite. Now the USC signal-caller is up at +5000 after losses to Notre Dame and Utah 😬.
There is a clear big three headlining the NBA Rookie of the Year race 🏁 ahead of the season, however the action on the top options may not be what you’d expect. Let’s check out the most popular NBA ROY bets by tickets and handle.
Scoot Henderson: 27.6% tickets (2nd), 41.5% handle (1st)
After opening at +300, Henderson was as low as +250 for the award last week before he was moved to +450 this past Sunday. That’s despite the No. 2 pick bringing in over two times more ROY handle than Victor Wembanyama.
Chet Holmgren: 34.0% tickets (1st), 26.9% handle (2nd)
Holmgren was first posted at +650 and drifted to as low as +225. Like Henderson, his odds were also raised this past Sunday from +225 to +325. Holmgren to win ROY has the most tickets for any NBA awards 🏆 market bet.
Victor Wembanyama: 9.8% tickets (3rd), 19.9% handle (3rd)
Wembanyama is currently -150 chalk for ROY. The only time he wasn’t the odds-on favorite was when he was even money (+100) from Sept. 28 to Oct. 10. Bettors have been more interested in backing the No. 1 pick for Defensive Player of the Year (opened +2200, now +1400), as he leads in tickets at 23.9% and handle at 29.7%.
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Max Meyer
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