We’ve entered July, meaning we’re one month closer to football season kicking off. To help speed up the timeline, we have our daily NFL betting reports. We’ll be highlighting the betting action for individual teams in four Hustles per week, sorting them out by division.
After looking at the AFC East last week, we begin our AFC North tour with the Steelers.
SUPER BOWL Odds: Opened +6600 (T-23rd), currently +5000 (T-20th)
Action: 1.4% tickets (18th), 0.8% handle (23rd)
WIN TOTAL Odds: 8.5 (Over -160, Under +130)
Action: Over 90% tickets, Over 99% handle
DIVISION Odds: Opened +500 (4th), currently +425 (4th)
Action: 23.7% tickets (2nd among AFC North teams), 15.5% handle (3rd)
PERUSING THE PLAYERS
Are bettors anticipating a second-year leap for Kenny Pickett? After opening at +3500 for NFL MVP, that price has risen a little to +4000. The young signal-caller has racked up 0.4% of the handle for this market. That’s good for 15th and more than veterans Dak Prescott, Kirk Cousins, Russell Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa.
Pass rusher T.J. Watt is tied for the second-lowest odds for Defensive Player of the Year at +700. He’s at the same number as Myles Garrett, and they only trail Micah Parsons at +650. Watt is also second in handle for DPOY at 20.0%, with first place belonging to Aidan Hutchinson at 24.5%.
Daniel Parisi has a picks for tomorrow's action from Wimbledon. If you're looking for something today, Max Meyer has an MLB best bet.
"Woo is living up to his top prospect billing, and he’s struck out at least 7 in three of his past four starts. The Giants have the fourth-highest K-rate vs. righties, and SF just had to play Sunday Night Baseball in New York last night before traveling across the country."
THE AGREEABLE ACE
Wimbledon: Lorenzo Sonego ML (-195) vs. Matteo Berrettini [Tuesday, 6 a.m. ET]
"Sonego dispatched Berrettini just weeks ago in Stuttgart (6-1, 6-2) and I can't see much changing with consideration that Berrettini is just going through the motions."
Many clients are banking on the Heat landing Damian Lillard, as Miami leads all teams with 21.7% of the tickets to win the 2024 NBA title.
NBA free agency officially began at 6 p.m. ET this past Friday. Since then, we’ve seen some notable NBA title odds shifts (and non-shifts). Trader Ryan Shapiro joined us to explain the moves.
BEFORE: Nuggets +450, Celtics +475 CURRENT: Nuggets +450, Celtics +450 TRADER: “These two were already pretty close to being co-favorites, but the Nuggets losing Bruce Brown is what ultimately pushed the two teams together.”
BEFORE: Heat +1400, Trail Blazers +12500 CURRENT: Heat +800, Trail Blazers +20000 TRADER: “This is obviously about the Damian Lillard rumors. The Blazers will stay the same from here since he’s almost certainly getting traded, but the Heat’s odds would wildly swing if another team becomes the rumored destination.”
BEFORE: Rockets +25000 CURRENT: Rockets +25000 TRADER: “The Rockets made some splashes, but it felt as if those moves didn’t help them improve much. Fred VanVleet and Dillon Brooks aren’t going to push the needle, they need a true star to really contend.”
Joey Chestnut is a massive -4000 favorite to win the 2023 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest.
July 4th is tomorrow, and you know what that means right? Fireworks, sure. But it’s also another year of getting to witness the eating machine that is Joey Chestnut.
Chestnut has won 15 of the past 16 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contests dating back to 2007. Matt Stonie in 2016 is the only blip on Chestnut’s radar. Chestnut set a Nathan’s contest record in 2021 by downing an astounding 76 hot dogs in 10 minutes.
For clients in Colorado, Maryland, Michigan, Louisiana and Kansas, you can wager on how many hot dogs Chestnut will eat.
His over/under has been set at 73.5, a mark he has crossed in 3 of the past 5 years. But the majority of the action early on has been on the UNDER, as it’s reeled in 75% of the tickets and 94% of the handle.
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