Ja'Marr Chase, who has not caught a pass since Oct. 23, could be all smiles today. (AP Photo)
KICKOFF: 4:25 p.m. ET
KEY FACTS: The Chiefs have won five straight, but can they exact revenge on the team that shocked them in last year’s AFC Championship? Patrick Mahomes (-170 MVP) has thrown for 320+ yards in six straight games 🌶️. Ja’Marr Chase (hip) is on track to return 🏃🏽 but the status of Joe Mixon (concussion) remains unclear.
TRENDING: Cincinnati has covered eight of its last nine. The Chiefs typically go Over (10 of last 13) on the road.
INSIGHT: More than 80% of our handle is on the Over, which has risen to 52.5.
NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher and PointsBet senior editor Teddy Greenstein went 2-0 in their college picks. Here's what they dig today.
Ravens -9 over Broncos (-107)
"The Broncos are a train wreck, and Lamar Jackson gives Baltimore a floor that Denver cannot keep up with."
Colts Team Total Under 16.5 (-115)
"Micah Parsons will be teeing off on Matt Ryan and his poor offensive line all night."
Titans +4.5 over Eagles (-107)
“Two coaches I love in the underdog role: Mike Tomlin and Mike Vrabel. And with Vrabel you get Derrick Henry, too.”
Garrett Wilson Anytime TD (+185)
“Wilson vibes so well with Mike White, they connected on two scores against the Bears. Minnesota allows a completion percentage of 69.3, second highest (to the Raiders).”
💡 The Joes see the Raiders’ crummy 4-7 record and assume the Bolts will light ‘em up. But San Diego is likely to be without WR Mike Williams, C Corey Linsley and RT Trey Pipkins.
2. Colts (+10.5) @ Cowboys
Pros: Colts 55% handle
Joes: Cowboys 57% tickets
💡 The Pros have seen the scrappy Colts keep their games close under Jeff Saturday. The Cowboys are a delectable choice for sloppy Joes.
3. Seahawks (-6.5) @ Rams
Pros: Rams 75% handle
Joes: Seahawks 52% tickets
💡 The Joes are fading a team (L.A.) that’s a league-worst 2-8-1 ATS and without Matt Stafford (IR). The sharps are fading a team (Seattle) that has lost two straight and suffered a flu-like outbreak at practice this week.
STOP SHOUTING, TYREEK! We won't bet against you. (AP Photo)
If you’re like us, you want to bet Dolphins-49ers but can’t decide on the spread (SF -4). Consider going the prop route:
Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa ⬆️ 265.5 passing yards (-120): He has topped this four straight weeks, and San Fran is poison for opposing rushers.
Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki ⬇️ 20.5 receiving yards (-110): The Niners are second best against TEs in yards per catch. And the former Penn Stater got ghosted last week — zero catches, one target.
Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill ⬆️ 90.5 receiving yards (-115): Stud receivers such as Cooper Kupp, Tyler Lockett, DeAndre Hopkins and JuJu Smith-Schuster have feasted on the Niners. Hill gets 10+ targets in almost all non-blowouts.
KEY FACTS: Matt Ryan’s family members might want to watch the World Cup instead 🙃. He has been sacked 32 times, and Dallas leads the NFL with 45. The Cowboys are on extra rest (since Thanksgiving), while the Colts had to travel after their MNF loss to the Steelers. On the plus side, Jonathan Taylor is averaging 5.0 yards per rush in his last five games.
TRENDING: The Cowboys are 14-5 ATS as a favorite since 2021. Indy has produced eight Unders ↘️ in its last nine road games.
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