The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
TREND IS YOUR FRIEND: This trend is 20-2 ATS since 2019!
OUTRAGEOUS OFFER: Celebrate Friday with a Bonus Bet
EXPERT PICKS: Three experts, one common goal
PEAK PREAKNESS: One sharp’s pick to win tomorrow’s race
The Celtics losing to the Heat on Wednesday was the eighth time this postseason that a home team dropped Game 1. How did the first seven fare in Game 2?
Cavaliers (-5.5) vs. Knicks: 107-90 win
Suns (-8) vs. Clippers: 123-109 win
Grizzlies (+1) vs. Lakers: 103-93 win
Bucks (-5.5) vs. Heat: 138-122 win
Knicks (-10) vs. Heat: 111-105 win
Celtics (-7.5) vs. 76ers: 121-87 win
Warriors (-7) vs. Lakers: 127-100 win
For those scoring at home, that’s 7-0 straight up, 6-1 ATS and an average victory margin of 17.7 points. This situation has been cashing consistently since 2019.
PointsBet is giving away $100 million of Bonus Bets through May 30. So make sure to check your account during every Power Hour (starting at 6 p.m. ET) for a new Bonus Bet!
The credit is good for all states but NY. See Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
For today’s Bonus Bet, we’re eyeing an MLB SGP (+320) from Orioles-Blue Jays [7:07 p.m. ET].
Blue Jays ML (-160): Toronto is 7-1 with Yusei Kikuchi (3.89 ERA) on the mound. He has allowed one run or fewer in five of eight starts.
Over 9.5 Runs (+100): Both offenses rank inside the top 10 in OBP, and Orioles SP Kyle Gibson has a 6.11 ERA this month.
Kyle Gibson Under 4.5 K’s (-160): He is fanning just 6.2 per 9 innings, and the Blue Jays have the MLB’s sixth-lowest ‘K’ rate.
EXPERT PICKS
Kazeem "Kaz" Famuyide is taking a brave stance against the G2 trend. PointsBet client and pucks expert Qordaseus “Q” Alexander has hit 10 of his last 11 from the ice. Max Meyer hopes to kick off the WNBA season in style.
THE NBA GURU
Heat +9.5 (-110) @ Celtics [8:30 p.m. ET]
"I’m done betting against Jimmy and 'Spo,' and I don’t have much trust in Mazzulla. I expect the Heat to drag Boston into the deep end, like they’ve done to every team this postseason."
THE ICE MAN
Vegas Golden Knights ML (-125) vs. Stars [8:30 p.m. ET]
"Dallas is faster, however Vegas has the strength advantage line-to-line. The Stars have relied on a few key players throughout the playoffs, but give me the more complete team in the Knights."
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Mystics 1H Moneyline (+105) vs. Liberty [7 p.m. ET]
“I think there will be some good chances to fade the Liberty early in the season with all of their new talent trying to gel.”
Heat (+330 ML) @ Celtics -9.5 (-425 ML); Total 215
TIP-OFF: 8:30 p.m. ET
KEY STATS: Six Miami players scored 15+ points and the Heat splashed 51.6% of their 3-pointers in Game 1. Jayson Tatum has scored 30+ points in three of his last four contests.
TRENDING: The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and the Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight coming off a loss. Miami hit the over in nine of its previous 10 matchups, and the over is 9-3 in Boston’s last 12 overall.
MAKING MOVES: The spread has gone up slightly from -9 to -9.5. Interestingly, there have been back-and-forth swings on the total. After it opened at 214, it went to as high as 216.5 before currently settling at 215.
TOP PROP: An Indiana client laid $1,500 on Jayson Tatum 12+ rebounds at +225 for a potential win of $3,375. Those odds are now down to +190, and Tatum has cleared that number twice this postseason.
SERIES SWING: The Celtics were -500 to advance ahead of Game 1, with the Heat priced at +375. Boston is still a -225 favorite, whereas Miami now sits at +175.
The second leg of the Triple Crown is this weekend, with the Preakness Stakes ready to roll tomorrow. We brought on Director of Marketing Racing Rich Nilsen to help us pick a winning horse, as he has an extensive background in U.S. racing.
What are the key differences between this year’s Preakness field versus the Kentucky Derby?
Nilsen: “This year’s Preakness is a completely different race than the large field and hot pace featured in the Kentucky Derby. Saturday’s race features a short 7-horse field with a sharp newcomer in National Treasure.”
How are you expecting the odds to change for the top contenders with First Mission scratched?
Nilsen: “With the big scratch of First Mission, who was the second choice, Mage will be much lower than his original +160 odds. He will be an odds-on favorite and National Treasure (who was first +400) will be around +200.”
Who is your pick to win the Preakness?
Nilsen: “National Treasure is a sharp shooter coming in for the always dangerous Bob Baffert. The Hall of Fame horseman has won the Preakness a record seven times, and this horse is sitting on a good race.”
