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FRIDAY

The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

MARQUEE MATCHUP: Are clients backing Miami as a home dog?

SGP ON US ALERT: What more could you want for Game 4

EXPERT PICKS: Three experts are ready to end the week strong

THE STAKES ARE HIGH: Our pick to win the Belmont Stakes

SOUTH BEACH SHOWDOWN

MARQUEE MATCHUP

PointsBet Data and Insights

THE LINES: Nuggets (-3.5) @ Heat; Total 211

TIP-OFF: 8:30 p.m. ET

KEY FACTS: Nikola Jokic became the first player to record a 30-20-10 triple double in an NBA Finals game on Wednesday night, and the Nuggets outrebounded the Heat 58-33 to take the series lead. Miami’s Tyler Herro has been out with a hand injury since the first round and is already ruled out for Game 4.

TRENDING: Denver covered in its last four road️ games, while Miami is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 at Kaseya Center. The Nuggets have hit the over at a 6-2-1 rate in their last nine road contests, while the under cashed in six of the Heat’s last seven overall.

SERIES SWINGS: The Nuggets were -400 favorites before the Finals tipped off, and reached a low point of -270 ahead of Game 3. Now Denver is back up to -800, the same price it was after taking a 1-0 lead. Meanwhile, the Heat are priced at +550 to pull off the upset.

TOP PROP: Jokic is averaging 33.3 points this series, and the over on his points has drawn the most handle for any Game 4 player prop. While this prop briefly touched 31.5, it’s mostly resided at 30.5.

OUTSTANDING OFFER

SGP ON US ALERT

PointsBet Creative

Check your account for a Bonus Bet during today’s Power Hour, which starts at 6 p.m. ET. Use it on a Same Game Parlay for Game 4!

Nikola Jokic has been incredible this series… and Jamal Murray has too. In fact, the Nuggets sharpshooter has racked up double-digit assists and multiple threes in every Finals game thus far. So here’s our +190 SGP, with Murray once again boosting the Nuggets offense.

• Nuggets over 106.5 points (-125)
• Murray over 7.5 assists (-140)
• Murray 2+ threes made (-650)

EXPERT PICKS

Starting the weekend off strong? Kazeem "Kaz" Famuyide, Ariel Epstein and Max Meyer are all rolling with underdogs across three different leagues.

THE NBA HOST

Heat +3.5 (-110) vs. Nuggets [8:30 p.m. ET]
"I've counted the Heat out too many times this postseason, and I've learned my lesson. Several different guys have stepped up in big spots before, and I think one of their streaky guys can keep them in it tonight."

THE PROP QUEEN

Rangers @ Rays: Rangers +1.5 (-140) [6:40 p.m. ET]
"Andrew Heaney has gotten 8.5 runs per game from the Texas bats in his starts, the most run support in MLB. A reason why? The Rangers are hitting an MLB-best .335 with RISP, 51 points higher than the Rays."
Giants SP Anthony DeSclafani Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-120) [10:15 p.m. ET]
"DeSclafani has made four starts against high K-rate teams and has had at least five strikeouts in all of them. The Cubs own the fifth-highest strikeout rate vs. righties."

THE SENIOR EDITOR

Atlanta Dream +7.5 (-115) vs. New York Liberty [7:30 p.m. ET]
"WNBA home underdogs are 11-3 ATS this season. This is too many points for the Liberty to lay on the road against a solid team. New York has been inconsistent early on with all of its new pieces trying to gel."
MILE HIGH SPECIALS

ASK THE SHARP

PointsBet is offering Mile High Specials for every NBA Finals game, and we’ve unleashed five more for Game 4. We called on PointsBet capper Daniel Parisi to ask for his favorite ✅ bet of the five.

Heat First to 10 Three-Pointers Made (-135)

Parisi: “If the Heat are to have any chance to hang around in this game, they’ll need to be lights out from outside. Look for Max Strus and Gabe Vincent to put threes up early and often.”

NOT HORSIN' AROUND

THE STAKES ARE HIGH

PointsBet Creative

The final leg of the Triple Crown is nearly upon us, with the Belmont Stakes set for tomorrow. Director of Marketing Racing Rich Nilsen nailed National Treasure to win the Preakness, and he’s back again to help us.

Is the Belmont Stakes field the strongest of any leg of this Triple Crown?

RN: “Although it is a shorter 9-horse field as compared to the Kentucky Derby, this race is very competitive like the Derby and there are few runners you can easily toss.”

National Treasure is coming off a Preakness win, but only has the fourth-lowest odds. Why isn’t he the favorite here?

RN: “The Bob Baffert runner took advantage of a slow pace situation in the Preakness and yet barely held on for the win, and this is a much tougher field. However, I have learned over the years to toss Baffert horses at your own peril.”

Who is your pick to win the Belmont Stakes?

RN:Hit Show (+1000) moved into a fast pace on the turn for home in the Derby before flattening out late. The Brad Cox runner has more tactical speed than his stablemate, Angel Of Empire (+350), and he’s our pick with underrated, local rider Manny Franco aboard.”

CHAMPIONSHIP CLASH

HERE COMES TREBLE? ⚽

PointsBet Data and Insights

The two teams battling in tomorrow’s Champions League Final (3 p.m. ET) have each had unique paths to get there. Manchester City opened as the +275 favorite, and have stayed in the top spot the entire time this market has been up. Inter was first released at +3300 and reached as high as +10000 following their opening defeat to Bayern Munich in UCL play.

We brought on our soccer expert Jon Eimer to preview this match and make some picks.

Manchester City Dominance

Love them or hate them, right now we’re all just living in Manchester City’s world. They are one match away from winning an English treble for the first time since Manchester United pulled it off back in the 1998-99 season. I expect City to do what they always do: dominate possession and overwhelm their opponents, as they play against an Inter Milan side that almost prefers to sit back and focus on defense over everything.

What Is Inzaghi’s Gameplan?

Inter Milan manager Simone Inzaghi has had plenty of time to prepare for this final. Unfortunately for anyone who loves goals, I have a feeling that Inzaghi’s plan is going to be Inter Milan parking the absolute heck out of this bus and playing for a 0-0 draw.

The best-case scenario for the Italians here is for this game to end 0-0, for extra time to end 0-0 and to take this bad boy to penalties. They want this because they have the most effective UCL goalkeeper of the year, Andre Onana, between the sticks.

Andre Onana Is the Key to an Upset

Onana has kept an astounding 8 clean sheets over Inter’s 12 UCL games so far this season. Milan’s defense and goalkeeping have carried them through this competition, and they will need to rely on that more than ever if they want to lift the cup. While they haven’t had to play an attack as aggressive as City, they’ll stick to what has been working and prepare for war.

Picks

SGP: Manchester City ML + Under 4.5 Goals (-135)

Rodri Hernandez to Have 1 or More Shots on Target (+200)

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