Many major storylines came out of last night’s NFL Honors awards show, including Lamar Jackson winning his second MVP and Damar Hamlin surprisingly not being named Comeback Player of the Year.
There was one under-the-radar storyline, though, that may give bettors some insight into SB 🏆 MVP voting on Sunday.
Jackson finished with 493 points in the MVP tally thanks to coming away with 49 of 50 first-place votes. Dak Prescott was second with 152 points, followed by 49ers… RUNNING BACK Christian McCaffrey at 147. Brock Purdy came in fourth with 97 points.
McCaffrey racked up 17 second-place votes, 12 third-place votes and 44 votes overall (voters picked first through fifth) while Purdy had nine second-place votes, five third-place votes and 39 votes overall.
So why is this noteworthy? Award markets are nuanced because you have to take into account voters’ subjectivity. More voters thought McCaffrey was more important to San Francisco’s regular season success 👀 despite Purdy leading all NFL QBs in categories such as yards per throw and QB rating.
Quarterbacks clearly have the easiest path to being named MVP. But after the votes last night for regular season MVP, are we sure there should be a gap as big as Purdy at +210 and McCaffrey at +425 for SB MVP?
Ariel Epstein is live on the scene in Las Vegas and is backing two 49ers player props for Sunday's showdown. Ryan Elmalem has us covered for tonight with an under on an NBA rookie's prop.
“The Chiefs’ weakness on D is stopping the run and Kyle Shanahan will attack it. It also keeps Patrick Mahomes off the field. Expect SF to pound the rock with Christian McCaffrey and add in some Deebo Samuel runs.”
49ers WR Deebo Samuel Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
“Speaking of Deebo, the do-it-all Niners wideout ran for 53 yards against the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV. I see Kyle Shanahan going back to that well to throw off Kansas City’s defense.”
THE GRAPHICS GUY
Hornets F Brandon Miller Under 25.5 Points (-110) [8 p.m. ET]
“While Miller has put together some nice scoring games of late, I’m comfortable fading the rookie who has scored 26 points in only 14 percent of games this season.”
We are offering BOOSTED ODDS on PLAYER PROPS for Sunday’s battle between San Francisco and Kansas City. You’ll be able to get improved prices on various passing, rushing and receiving props during Power 💪 Hour, starting at 6 p.m. ET.
See the Promotions page on the app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
One of the best feelings in sports betting is cashing 💸 a longshot futures bet.
This New Jersey bettor turned $50 into a nice payday after Kevin Stefanski edged DeMeco Ryans for Coach of the Year. The two finished with the same number of points from voters, but Stefanski won on the tiebreaker by one first-place nod.
Zack is so sharp on Futures/prop betting, he is feared by nearly every major sportsbook. We hired him to arm clients with the knowledge 🧠 they crave. Follow him on Twitter ➡️ zackonomics.
SGP +115 – Kansas City +8.5, Over 41.5 & Patrick Mahomes 225+ passing yards
In 113 NFL games with Mahomes under center, Kansas City has only lost FOUR times by more than eight points 🤯. Assuming KC stays within a touchdown at worst, Mahomes should easily clear 225 passing yards.
On the other side, San Francisco has one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL, coming off a 34-point performance against Detroit. With weather a non-factor on Sunday, I expect both teams to put up points with ease.
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