Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
📊 ACTION REPORT: Colorado’s title action is insane
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: One expert is backing the ‘dog for TNF
📺 MARQUEE MATCHUP: Line coming down for Vikings-Eagles
🤔 ASK THE TRADER: One CFB total is trumping NFL in handle
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
If you thought this Colorado season couldn’t get any crazier, several bettors are backing a fairytale ending for Deion Sanders’ first season in Boulder … and moreso than any other team.
Ahead of the season when Colorado had +10000 national title odds, the Buffaloes 🦬 ranked fifth in tickets at 6.3% to win it all. They currently sit at +8000 for the championship and are tops in tickets at 14.4%.
Incredibly, Colorado now has more than twice as many tickets to win the title compared to every college football team except for Florida State (+1000) and Michigan (+500).
The Buffaloes also reside in third for handle 💰 in this market at 11.7%, trailing Michigan at 16.6% and Florida State at 13.2%.
Colorado is a 23-point favorite hosting in-state rival Colorado State on Saturday night before a massive road test at Oregon the following weekend.
EXPERT PICKS
Trying to figure out how to bet tonight's clash between the Vikings and Eagles? Here's what Ryan Leaf and Ariel Epstein are rolling with.
THE SIGNAL-CALLER
Vikings @ Eagles: Under 49 Points (-110) [8:15 p.m. ET]
“The Eagles looked a little stagnant on offense in their season opener. If Darius Slay shuts down Justin Jefferson like he did a year ago, that makes things problematic for Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense.”
THE PROP QUEEN
Vikings +6 (-110) @ Eagles
“The Eagles pass defense looked bad against the Patriots, and now they have to go up against Cousins, Jefferson and promising rookie wideout Jordan Addison. Philly is also banged up after a few key players suffered injuries in Week 1.”
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts Over 32.5 Pass Attempts (-115)
"The Vikings allowed the fourth-most pass attempts per game (36.2) last season, and Baker Mayfield had 34 attempts against them last weekend. Jalen Hurts should have plenty of time in the pocket with Minnesota trading top pass-rusher Za'Darius Smith this offseason."
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PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
OPENING KICKOFF: 8:15 p.m. ET
KEY FACTS: The Vikings went 11-0 in one-score games last regular season, so it was fitting that their 2023 opener was a 3-point defeat 😂 to the Buccaneers. After Kirk Cousins went 0-8 ATS as an underdog in night games with the Commanders, he’s actually 5-2 ATS in the same situation with the Vikings.
MAKING MOVES: The Eagles opened as 7-point home favorites and first went up to -7.5. This line, though, has come all the way down to Philly -6. That’s even with the total rising up a point from 48 to 49.
REVENGE GAME: The Eagles took wideout Jalen Reagor one pick ahead of Justin Jefferson in the 2020 NFL Draft. Jefferson posted a 6-48-0 line in his first career matchup against Philly last season, however his anytime touchdown prop (+110) has drawn the most tickets and handle 💵 of any player prop for tonight’s contest.
TOP PROPS: Two more player props that have generated significant action involve each team’s tight end. Dallas Goedert didn’t haul in a single catch in Philly’s season opener. Yet, his receiving yards prop has climbed from 40.5 to 50.5 thanks to 95.5% of the handle coming in on the over. On the other side, T.J. Hockenson’s receptions prop has increased from 4.5 to 5.5 with 99.2% of the handle on the over.
Welcome back to Total Thursday, where we’ll be looking at the most popular total bet (excluding TNF) every week.
This week’s total spotlight is an unusual one. There is actually a college football under that has generated more handle than any NFL total bet outside of TNF 🤯.
Louisville and Indiana will square off at Lucas Oil Stadium this Saturday at 12 p.m. ET. This total opened at 53 before dropping down to 50.5, as a whopping 99.2% of the handle has come in on the under.
There is even more handle on the under alone than Louisville spread, Louisville moneyline, Indiana spread and Indiana moneyline COMBINED.
We checked in with football trader Jake Fisher to get his thoughts 💭 on this total.
ASK THE TRADER: While it’s a bit surprising to see a total for an unranked CFB early kick garner more attention than most pro games so far, NFL totals typically have higher demand in the few days leading up to kickoff when key factors like weather and injury reports become more certain. All this under money could be targeting a Hoosiers defense that hasn’t given up a passing TD through two weeks and allowed just 23 points to Ohio State. Louisville’s offense has feasted against weaker competition so far under new coach Jeff Brohm, but it has only converted 23% of its third downs.
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