Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
🏫 BACK TO SCHOOL: Which team is getting 99% of handle to cover?
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Ryan Leaf is taking the points in two big matchups
📺 MARQUEE MATCHUP: Lots of Notre Dame love to upset Ohio State
🧑⚖️ MAKE THE CASE: Two road ‘dogs we like to win outright
Deion Sanders and Colorado have gotten more spread tickets and handle for today than any NFL team to cover in Week 3.
This very well could be the best Saturday of the college football season, as we have six games with top-25 teams facing off. With one team in particular 🦬 dominating action once again, we’ll also reveal the second-place finishers in some categories.
Most Spread Tickets: Colorado (opened +20.5, now +21 at Oregon) Second: Florida State (-2 at Clemson)
Most Spread Handle: Colorado Second: Florida State (-2 at Clemson)
*Colorado has gotten more than twice as much handle to cover this week than any other CFB team.
Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Tickets: Hawaii 87.7% (opened -2.5, now -3 vs. New Mexico State)
Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Handle: Rice 99.0% (opened -2, now -2.5 at USF)
Most Total Tickets: Colorado-Oregon OVER (opened 72.5, now 70) Second: Rutgers-Michigan OVER (43.5)
Most Total Handle: Colorado-Oregon OVER Second: Appalachian State-Wyoming OVER (44)
Underdog With Most Moneyline Bets: Colorado, now +550 at Oregon Second: Notre Dame, now +135 vs. Ohio State
Underdog With Most Moneyline Handle: Colorado Second: Notre Dame
Fanatics just made Power 💪 Hour even bigger, as everyone’s DAILYSGP BONUS BET today is doubled!
Make sure to take advantage starting at 12 p.m. ET by using it on any 3+ leg Same Game Parlay (pre-game or live). See the Promotions page on the app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
EXPERT PICKS
If you like underdogs, Ryan Leaf and Max Meyer have four that stand out on this loaded college football slate.
THE SIGNAL-CALLER
Washington State +3 (-110) vs. Oregon State [7 p.m. ET]
“Cam Ward has been playing his tail off and Washington State’s defense has looked great. I really like what I’ve seen from head coach Jake Dickert since he was elevated from DC to interim HC two years ago.”
Notre Dame +3 (-110) vs. Ohio State [7:30 p.m. ET]
“Ohio State has looked sputtery and this is its first real test of the season. Notre Dame played the Buckeyes tight at the Horseshoe last season in Marcus Freeman’s first year as HC. Now the Irish can make a huge statement in South Bend and have the better QB with Sam Hartman.”
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Vanderbilt +13.5 (-110) vs. Kentucky [12 p.m. ET]
"Vandy is 0-4 against the number, but this is too many points for Kentucky to lay on the road. The Wildcats' offense has looked a bit out of sorts despite an easy schedule so far. Vandy has a competent passing attack, with QB AJ Swann ranking 25th in CFB in passing yards per game."
Utah State +4.5 (-110) vs. James Madison [8 p.m. ET]
"James Madison is playing its third straight road game and it’s capped by its longest trip of the season to Logan, Utah. The Dukes have played back-to-back 60-minute wars, edging out Virginia and Troy the past two weeks. The emotional gas tank could be running low."
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
OPENING KICKOFF: 7:30 p.m. ET
WHY WE’RE WATCHING: You need more reasons than two of the biggest programs in CFB squaring off in a top-10 matchup? Notre Dame’s offense is one of the most exciting 🎆 in the country with transfer QB Sam Hartman under center, scoring 46.0 points per game (ninth). Ohio State will get its fair share of points as well with the best receiver duo in the country in Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka.
MAKING MOVES: Ohio State opened as a 3-point road favorite in this one. The Buckeyes did reach -3.5 on Monday and Tuesday before the spread was bet back down to -3. The total has gone up by 1.5 points from 54 to 55.5.
UPSET WATCH: Notre Dame (+135) has gotten the second-most moneyline tickets and handle of any Week 4 underdog 🐶, only behind Colorado (+550 at Oregon) in each category.
HELLO HEISMAN: Hartman was priced at +2000 when Heisman odds were put back up this past Sunday and has since come all the way down to +800 (fourth-lowest). Harrison Jr. has the lowest Heisman odds of any Ohio State player at +2800, followed by Kyle McCord at +4000. Meanwhile, Notre Dame bruising tailback Audric Estime resides at +7000.
Senior editor Max Meyer will be sharing his favorite moneyline underdog upset picks for both college football and NFL in weekend Hustle editions. So far, he’s up +1.48 units (3-4 record) and has two road underdogs he’s rolling with for Week 4.
SMU +210 at TCU [12 p.m. ET]
This is a tough SMU team, as it hung with Oklahoma for most of the game and has rolled in its two other contests. TCU’s pass defense is vulnerable, as we saw Colorado completely shred it in the season opener. The Horned Frogs 🐸 have allowed 14 pass plays of 20+ yards, tied for the 11th-most in the country.
SMU’s Preston Stone ranks eighth in EPA/play (expected points added) among all QBs and is tops in that metric among all Group of Five QBs. I trust him more than TCU signal-caller Chandler Morris, as TCU’s offense just isn’t the humming like it did with Max Duggan. The Horned Frogs are 32nd in yards per play this campaign compared to 14th last season. Morris goes up against a legit SMU defense that is tied for 13th in sacks per game (3.67) and ranks 15th in yards per play allowed (4.20).
UCLA +145 at Utah [3:30 p.m. ET]
The big question for this game is whether Utah QB Cam Rising makes his season debut. With the spread going from Utah -6 to Utah -3.5 yesterday, the market told us what it thinks. There have been reports this morning that Utah is trotting out Nate Johnson under center. Even if Rising does play, he’s coming off an ACL injury and won’t be a factor with his legs in his first game back. That’s trouble against a UCLA pass rush that is averaging 3.67 sacks per game (tied for 13th in CFB). If Rising doesn’t play, the offense hasn’t exactly been inspiring to start the season.
On the other side, UCLA’s offense struggled early on in its opener against Coastal Carolina but it certainly flipped a switch after putting in true freshman QB Dante Moore 🌟. Moore is averaging 12.1 yards per attempt, while transfers Carson Steele and J. Michael Sturdivant look like true impact players on offense.
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Max Meyer
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