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FRIDAY

Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

BACK TO SCHOOL: Bettors are lining up to back a massive ‘dog

EXPERT PICKS: Ryan Leaf thinks this top-25 team will get upset

ACTION REPORT: Two dual-threat QBs are popular MVP bets

‍⚖️ MAKE THE CASE: Who doesn’t love plus-money plays?

BRING THE ACTION

BACK TO SCHOOL

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights

We have college football games kicking off for the next four (4!) days. Let’s check out which sides have been generating noteworthy action so far for this giant slate.

Most Spread Tickets: Colorado (opened +20, now +20.5 at TCU)

Most Spread Handle: Wisconsin (opened -23.5, now -28 vs. Buffalo)

Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Tickets: Alabama 96.6% (opened -39, now -39 vs. Middle Tennessee)

Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Handle: BYU 99.9% (opened -23, now -19.5 vs. Sam Houston State)

Most Total Tickets: East Carolina-Michigan OVER (opened 52, now 52)

Most Total Handle: Washington State-Colorado State UNDER (opened 56, now 55.5)

Underdog With Most Moneyline Bets: Colorado (now +635 at TCU)

Underdog With Most Moneyline Handle: Florida State (now +108 vs. LSU)

EXPERT PICKS

Ryan Leaf and Max Meyer are ready for a massive Week 1 college football slate, and they have three picks for Saturday.

THE SIGNAL-CALLER

Washington -14 (-111) vs. Boise State [Sat., 3:30 p.m. ET]
“This doesn’t seem like enough points for this Washington team. Michael Penix Jr. led the nation in passing a year ago and his top receivers are back. I’m not quite sure what Boise’s identity is.”
South Carolina +2.5 (-108) vs. North Carolina [Sat., 7:30 p.m. ET]
“South Carolina really finished last year on a high note. I think Spencer Rattler and the Gamecocks continue on the right path forward by getting the outright win over the highly touted Drake Maye.”

THE SENIOR EDITOR

Akron +10 (-108) @ Temple [Sat, 2 p.m. ET]
“The market is high on this Temple team given how it played down the stretch last season with QB E.J. Warner (Kurt’s son). But Temple laying double digits here is too much respect. Offensive mastermind Joe Moorhead is in his second year as Akron’s head coach and I expect this group to have success against Temple’s defense.”
OUTSTANDING OFFER

BONUS BET ON THE HOUSE

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative

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AWARDS TOUR

ACTION REPORT

NFL MVP odds (PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative)

The NFL regular season kicks off in under a week and offseason action on futures has been pouring in. Let’s look at which teams and players have been getting the most betting interest in various markets before the real games begin.

Here are the players that have gotten the most action to win NFL MVP.

MOST TICKETS TO WIN MVP

1. Justin Fields (+1500) 17.4%
Think even the biggest Bears fans would be stunned that Fields has more MVP bets than Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow COMBINED.

2. Jalen Hurts (+900) 11.3%
Hurts and Fields combined have received more MVP bets than every other NFC player in total.

3. Patrick Mahomes (+600) 9.2%
Mahomes actually opened as the MVP co-favorite with Josh Allen (both were +650 from Feb. 13 to March 20) and was a +650 co-favorite again with Burrow from July 14-26.

MOST HANDLE TO WIN MVP

1. Jalen Hurts 16.9%
Hurts originally was tied for the fifth-lowest MVP odds with Trevor Lawrence at +1300 before moving to the fourth spot on the odds board.

2. Justin Fields 16.0%
Fields opened at +3000 for MVP, and his current odds of +1500 are also the lowest he’s had to win the award.

3. Patrick Mahomes 10.6%
Never a bad idea to back a player who became the first QB ever to win two MVPs and two Super Bowls within his first six NFL seasons.

ON THE (PLUS) MONEY

MAKE THE CASE ⚖️

PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience creative

Who doesn’t love ❤️ upsets? We know college football bettors certainly do. Senior editor Max Meyer has his favorite Week 1 moneyline picks for three different categories — underdog around a field goal, underdog around a touchdown and double-digit underdog.

SMALL UNDERDOG: Florida State ML (+108 vs. LSU)
LSU was strong at defending the short pass last season but was much more vulnerable giving up big throws downfield. Even with addressing the secondary in the portal, it’ll be a very tough task facing Jordan Travis and Florida State’s collection of weapons. FSU’s OL has a ton of experience, as this group has over 200 career starts. I think this line trends closer to pick when it’s closer to Sunday night’s kickoff.

MEDIUM UNDERDOG: Louisiana-Monroe ML (+260 vs. Army)
Army is rolling out a new offense this season, as it’ll be moving away from its traditional triple-option attack to lining up in shotgun. But Army will still run the ball a lot and that clock will be ticking away. Service academies are strong fades as big favorites due to fewer possessions in those games and that will be emphasized even more with the new clock rules. Louisiana-Monroe only won 8 total games the past two seasons, but 5 were as at least a 9-point underdog (ULM is +9 vs. Army).

BIG UNDERDOG: Colorado State ML (+340 vs. Washington State)
Colorado State allowed a CFB-worst 5.2 sacks per game but attacked that position in the portal. If the OL can even moderately improve, this offense has the QB and skill-position group to make some noise. Luckily for the Rams, Wazzu was middle of the pack in 2022 in pressuring the QB (73rd in sack percentage) and lost two of its top disruptors. CSU ranked 17th in pass yards allowed per play (6.4) and brings back 4 of 5 from last year’s starting secondary, a tough matchup for the Cougars’ pass-happy attack.

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