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TUESDAY

The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

BACK TO SCHOOL: Six Week 1 lines moved by at least 3.5 points

EXPERT PICKS: This MLB underdog is worth a look

ACTION REPORT: One QB has been a red-hot OROY bet

ASK THE TRADER: Which Week 1 total has dropped 5.5 points?

MAKIN' MOVES

BACK TO SCHOOL

PointsBet Creative

It’s a massive Week 1 college football slate coming up, and six spreads have moved by at least 3.5 points from their opening number. Stanford at Hawaii (Fri, 11 p.m. ET) takes the cake ???? with a 5-point swing (Stanford -9.5 to -4.5), including through the key number of 7.

We called on strategy and trading analyst Jake Fisher to help explain the big move.

ASK THE TRADER: “We saw this spread dip under a touchdown on Sunday morning following an encouraging Week 0 performance by Hawaii against Vanderbilt. These programs look to be heading in opposite directions. Stanford is starting its rebuild process behind a new head coach and two new coordinators along with a roster that ranks second-to-last ???? in Phil Steele’s experience metric. Meanwhile, Hawaii returns its starting QB, nine defensive starters and has historically had a strong home-field advantage.”

EXPERT PICKS

Ariel Epstein has her eye on a road underdog to win outright, while Daniel Parisi is taking an under in a men's U.S. Open match.

THE PROP QUEEN

Red Sox Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-140) [7:10 p.m. ET]
“The Red Sox score 5.3 runs per game at Fenway, as their team total overs at home are the second-most profitable in MLB. Boston just faced J.P. France last week and hit 7 balls in play with at least 100 MPH exit velocity.”
Reds Moneyline (+130) @ Giants [9:45 p.m. ET]
“Reds lefty Brandon Williamson has allowed 2 runs or less in three of his last four road starts, while Giants starter Alex Cobb has a 6.84 August ERA. SF has the fifth-lowest OPS against southpaws.”

THE AGREEABLE ACE

Gael Monfils vs. Taro Daniel: Under 37.5 Games (-120) [4 p.m. ET]
"Despite his age, Monfils has produced some great results of late -- beating the likes of Tsitsipas, Eubanks, Norrie and De Minaur all on hard surfaces. His opponent Daniel made his way through the Qualifiers, but he doesn't have the gears to push Monfils."
OUTSTANDING OFFER

BONUS BET ON THE HOUSE

PointsBet Creative

It’s a day that ends in “y,” so that means you’re getting an SGP BONUS BET at Power Hour ???? (starting at 6 p.m. ET)! 

Since PointsBet clients get one every day for football season, you’ll be able to build any 3+ leg Same Game Parlay (pre-game or live) and build up your bankroll by using bonus bets.

The daily bonus bet will be given out in all states but NY ????. See the Promotions page on the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

WILL THESE ROOKS COOK?

ACTION REPORT

PointsBet Creative

The NFL regular season kicks off next week and offseason action on futures has been pouring in. Let’s look ???? at which teams and players have been getting the most betting interest in various markets before the real games begin.

Here are the players that have gotten the most action to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

MOST TICKETS TO WIN OROY

1. Anthony Richardson (+550) 17.1%
Richardson had the fifth-lowest OROY odds at +900 before he was named the Week 1 starter on Aug. 15. With all the action he’s gotten since, he’s down to the third spot.

2. Jahmyr Gibbs (+850) 16.3%
Fifteen of the last 19 OROYs have been a top-12 pick. Where was Gibbs selected in this past draft ????? No. 12.

3. Bijan Robinson (+275) 11.8%
Bijan opened as the +275 favorite and has stayed in that range the entire time. He’s gotten to as low as +250, reached as high as +300 and is now back to his original price.

MOST HANDLE TO WIN OROY

1. Anthony Richardson 26.6%
Richardson has more than four times the handle to win OROY than No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young ????.

2. Bijan Robinson 13.6%
Bijan also ranks in the top 5 in handle for another award, as he’s fourth (6.8%) for NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

3. Jahmyr Gibbs 9.8%
Gibbs could become the fifth Lion to win OROY, which would tie the Vikings for the most of any team.

TOTAL CHAOS

ASK THE TRADER

PointsBet Creative

After already diving into the biggest spread shifts for the Week 1 college football slate, now it’s time for totals. A pair of totals have swung by over 4 points, with the two moving in opposite directions from their opener.

We brought back strategy and trading analyst Jake Fisher to get his thoughts on these shifts.

Central Michigan at Michigan State (Fri., 7 p.m. ET)
Opening Total: 51
Current Total: 45.5
ASK THE TRADER: “Under money ???? has driven this total down a bit leading up to Friday night’s interstate showdown. The weather is calling for a cooler kick with temperatures in the mid 50s and light winds. Look for Sparty’s strong defensive front to disrupt a run-first CMU attack that has yet to commit to a starting quarterback. On the other side of the ball, bettors may be down on a Michigan State offense that lost last year’s starting QB (Payton Thorne) and top wideout (Keon Coleman) to the transfer portal in the spring.”

Colorado at TCU (Sat., 12 p.m. ET)
Opening Total: 59
Current Total: 63.5
ASK THE TRADER: “Over money continues to trickle in for this showdown which holds plenty of unknowns. Colorado brought in head coach Deion Sanders along with more than 70 new players. The Horned Frogs will attempt to follow their 2022 Cinderella run with Chandler Morris, who actually beat out Max Duggan for the starting QB job last season before getting injured. Both team’s identities bode well for a shootout ???? in Forth Worth between up-tempo offenses and defensive units focused on creating turnovers and making big plays.”

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