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THURSDAY

The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.

IN THIS ISSUE

ACTION REPORT: Jerry Jeudy’s OPOY odds have wildly shifted

EXPERT PICKS: Another day of MLB and WNBA best bets

BACK TO SCHOOL: Our Pac-12 guys are fading Oregon, UCLA

️‍♂️ POWER RANKINGS: Is USC the team to beat out west?

HEY JEUDY

ACTION REPORT

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We’ve crossed the halfway point of July, and the NFL season continues to inch closer. To help speed up the timeline, we have our daily NFL betting reports. We’ll be highlighting the betting action for individual teams in four Hustles per week, sorting them out by division.

AFC West week comes to a close today with the Broncos.

SUPER BOWL
Odds: Opened +4000 (T-12th), currently +4000 (T-17th)
Action: 3.2% tickets (9th), 2.8% handle (13th)

WIN TOTAL
Odds: 8.5 (Over -105, Under -115)
Action: OVER 74% tickets, OVER 53% handle

DIVISION
Odds: Opened +500 (3rd), currently +600 (3rd)
Action: 20.0% tickets (2nd), 6.4% handle (3rd)

PERUSING THE PLAYERS

 It was more like “Broncos country, let’s hide” for Russell Wilson’s first season in Denver. Do clients think Wilson can bounce back with an MVP-like effort? The veteran signal-caller opened at +2800 for MVP futures, and has risen to +3500. Wilson is tied for the ninth-most tickets in this market (2.4%) but is 13th in handle (1.3%).

One Bronco that many clients are buying for an awards future is Jerry Jeudy. Jeudy was originally a +12500 longshot for Offensive Player of the Year, however his odds now reside at +4200. The fourth-year wideout has captured 7.6% of the tickets (tied for second) and 3.7% of the handle (sixth). He’s drawn the most money for this award among AFC West players.

EXPERT PICKS

Ariel Epstein is eyeing a First Five and a Run Line for this MLB slate, while Max Meyer is rolling with an under in the WNBA.

THE PROP QUEEN

Cardinals @ Cubs: Cubs F5 ML (-130) [8:05 p.m. ET]
“Marcus Stroman has a stellar 2.69 ERA at Wrigley, and the Cubs have gone 7-2-1 on F5 MLs in Stroman home starts. On the flip side, Steven Matz has a 6.03 road ERA and the Cubs have the 11th-highest OPS vs. lefties.”
Astros Run Line -1.5 (-120) @ Athletics [9:40 p.m. ET]
“The Astros have outscored the A’s by a 31-9 margin this season in two 3-game sweeps. Oakland southpaw Hogan Harris has a 9.64 ERA in his last 4 starts, with a ghastly 13.5% walk rate in that timeframe.”

THE SENIOR EDITOR

Sky @ Mercury: Under 154.5 Points (-115) [10 p.m. ET]
“I was really impressed with the Mercury’s defense in their first game after the All-Star Break against the Sun. Unfortunately for them on the offensive end, Diana Taurasi is out tonight. The Sky have the WNBA’s worst road Offensive Rating.”
HOORAY FOR HOMERS

BOOSTED ODDS ALERT

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PointsBet is offering BOOSTED ODDS for HOME RUN HITTERS for tonight’s game between the Cardinals and Cubs. Make sure to take advantage during our Daily Power Hour, starting at 6 p.m. ET.

Cardinals starter Steven Matz just gave up two homers in his last start and has a road ERA north of 6. Righty batters have also recorded a .477 SLG% versus the St. Louis southpaw compared to a .317 mark for lefty hitters.

We recommend taking a look at Cubs outfielder Seiya Suzuki, who has done nice work against lefties this season (.305 AVG, .439 SLG).

See the Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.

WIN TOTAL WISDOM

BACK TO SCHOOL

Oregon has a tricky schedule after its bye. The Ducks play seven weeks in a row, including road games at Washington and Utah as well as hosting USC and Oregon State.

Summer and schoolusually don’t mix too well, but in this instance, it’s an ideal time to take a look at the college football landscape.

We continue the week closest to Pac-12 alums Ryan Leaf and Max Meyer’s hearts, and they gives out their favorite Pac-12 win totals to go under.

LEAF: UCLA Under 8.5 Wins (-105)

“You just can’t expect to replace a 5-year starter at QB in Dorian Thompson-Robinson and have the same efficiency on offense. I don’t know what the Bruins’ identity is heading into the season, and this could be a transition year with their sights on the Big Ten.”

MEYER: Oregon Under 9.5 Wins (-135)

Bo Nix had his best collegiate season in his first year in Eugene, throwing 29 touchdowns and rushing for 14 more. Oregon’s offensive coordinator Kenny Dillingham left this offseason to be Arizona State’s offense coordinator, and that’s a big deal for Nix. Dillingham recruited Nix to Auburn, and Nix had a very encouraging freshman year with Dillingham as OC. Dillingham then left for Florida State, and Nix didn’t progress at all in his next two seasons at Auburn.

Nix was also throwing behind one of the country’s best offensive lines last season. That group allowed a CFB-low 5 sacks, but four of those starters are gone. So is Oregon offensive line coach Adrian Klemm, who is now with the Patriots.

The Ducks had issues on defense last season, as they were only able to register 18 sacks (1.38 sacks per game ranked 123rd). It’s not like Oregon lacked talent on that side of the ball either, with four guys getting drafted. It will take a lot to replace last season’s top defensive player (Christian Gonzalez), pass rusher (DJ Johnson), tackler (safety Bennett Williams) and linebacker (Noah Sewell), even with talented recruits and transfers coming in.

LITTLE SEPARATION FROM THE PAC

POWER RANKINGS️‍♂️

The Pac-12 stands is the only Power Five conference to have six teams with +1500 odds or lower to take home the conference title. Here are the top contenders:

USC +185: The Trojans have just one conference title in the postPete Carroll era (2010 on). Last season’s Heisman winner Caleb Williams is the favorite to repeat (+550), but USC needs to fix a D that ranked 119th in yards per play (6.3).

Oregon +300: The Ducks weren’t much better in yards per play allowed at 5.8 (100th). But should we give Oregon HC Dan Lanning (former Georgia DC) the benefit of the doubt to revamp that side of the ball in Year 2?

Washington +325: Not many first-year head coaches impressed more than Kalen DeBoer with an 11-2 record. But after avoiding USC and Utah last season, the Huskies will have a tougher slate with those two contenders added.

Utah +500: The Utes have only lost one home game over the past four seasons. Unfortunately for them, they have to face USC, Washington and Oregon State away from Rice-Eccles Stadium this campaign.

Oregon State +1000: Coming off their first 10-win season since 2006, the Beavers landed former Clemson 5-star QB DJ Uiagalelei this offseason. HC Jonathan Smith is already one of the best at doing more with less, and now he has his more talented signal-caller ever in Corvallis.

UCLA +1500: The Bruins are in a rare position where they need to replace 5-year starting QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Will Chip Kelly go with 5-star true frosh Dante Moore or Kent State transfer Collin Schlee?

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