Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
📊 ACTION REPORT: Which home dogs are getting love vs. ranked teams?
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: Two SEC favorites and two big underdogs to target
🏫 BACK TO SCHOOL: Notre Dame is popular bet to cover against Clemson
🧑⚖️ MAKE THE CASE: Two CFB underdogs that we like to win outright
All four of redshirt freshman QB Noah Fifita's starts have come against top-25 teams, and he's 4-0 against the spread in those games.
There were five top-25 teams that lost last week, including three of them to unranked foes. Will we see any major upsets this weekend?
Bettors are strongly backing five underdogs 🐶 to cover against ranked favorites in Week 10. Three of them are unranked home dogs, while two others are ranked teams looking to make big statements against top-10 squads.
83.3% of handle on Arizona (+2.5) vs. No. 19 UCLA
Arizona (7-1) is tied with UNLV for the best record against the spread in all of college football 😮. The Wildcats have also won outright as underdogs in each of the past two weeks facing top-25 conference foes.
73.7% of handle on Colorado (+13) vs. No. 16 Oregon State Deion Sanders decided to switch his playcaller on offense, elevating analyst Pat Shurmur over OC Sean Lewis. That’s not the side of the ball that we thought warranted massive changes.
68.4% of handle on No. 22 Oklahoma State (+5.5) vs. No. 9 Oklahoma Can’t fault bettors for taking the points in the final Bedlam 😢 before Oklahoma heads to the SEC. Who would’ve guessed that Oklahoma State would be tied for first in the Big 12 standings after losing 33-7 to South Alabama?
67.0% of handle on Rutgers (+19) vs. No. 1 Ohio State After two straight massive battles against Penn State and Wisconsin, will a noon kickoff in Piscataway be a sleepy 🥱 spot for the top-ranked Buckeyes?
64.5% of handle on No. 20 USC (+3) vs. No. 5 Washington In the past 17 USC games, the over has cashed 16 times. The total for Washington-USC, though, is all the way up at 77.5, which is the highest total for any USC game this season.
EXPERT PICKS
Ryan Leaf is trusting the SEC's best teams to take care of business at home in big matchups, while Max Meyer is fading a pair of top-25 favorites.
THE SIGNAL-CALLER
Georgia -15 (-110) vs. Missouri [3:30 p.m. ET]
“Missouri has looked great this year. But when someone shows you who they are over and over again, you have to believe them. And Georgia continues to do that.”
Alabama -3 (-115) vs. LSU [7:45 p.m. ET]
“Injuries have popped up for LSU this week that could be a problem for the Tigers. Alabama’s defense is for real and will slow down LSU’s offense.”
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Army +17.5 (-110) at Air Force [2:30 p.m. ET]
“We’re getting three possessions in a game with a total at 32 and two opponents very familiar with one another. It won’t be pretty, but Army will keep it close in a low-scoring game.”
Maryland +8.5 (-110) vs. Penn State [3:30 p.m. ET]
“This seems like a nice buy-low spot for Maryland after losing its last two games against Illinois and Northwestern. Penn State’s offense is a mess and the Nittany Lions may be peeking ahead to next week’s massive battle against Michigan.”
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
It’s the first Saturday slate of November, and we start off strong 💪 with five battles between top-25 teams. Here are the sides that have been generating the most noteworthy action for Week 10.
Most Spread Tickets: Notre Dame (opened -3, now -3 at Clemson)
Most Spread Handle: Notre Dame
Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Tickets: Southern Miss 93.9% (opened -2.5, now -3 vs. UL Monroe)
Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Handle: Utah State 98.6% (opened -1.5, now -2 at San Diego State)
Most Total Tickets: Ohio State-Rutgers State OVER (opened 43.5, now 42.5)
Most Total Handle: Missouri-Georgia OVER (opened 55.5, now 55.5)
Underdog With Most Moneyline Bets: Kansas, now +130 at Iowa State
Underdog With Most Moneyline Handle: LSU, now +140 at Alabama
Senior editor Max Meyer will be sharing his favorite moneyline underdog 🐶 upset picks in weekend Hustle editions. So far, he’s up +0.53 units and has two picks from today’s college football slate.
Arkansas +135 at Florida [12 p.m. ET]
The Dan Enos era didn’t even make it one full season at Fayetteville, as the Arkansas OC was fired after a humiliating 7-3 defeat to Mississippi State. The Razorbacks had a bye to regroup and that additional time can only help an offense that underwent a major change. Arkansas will also get a boost with star RB Raheim (Rocket 🚀) Sanders likely back to prop up an anemic ground game averaging 2.9 yards per carry.
The 2-6 Razorbacks shown plenty of fight in SEC road games under Sam Pittman, losing by one score to LSU, Ole Miss and Alabama. On the flip side, I still don’t trust Florida’s coaching staff and the Gators lost leading tackler Shemar James for the season in their last game vs. Georgia.
Temple +210 vs. Navy [2 p.m. ET] Temple’s bye couldn’t have come at a better time, as the Owls 🦉 were shellacked by a combined score of 100-14 in their last two losses. But those two contests were without starting QB E.J. Warner, who will be back under center against Navy. Temple’s offense just isn’t the same without Warner, as it averaged just 3.6 yards per play in those two losses.
It’s not too often that you see a service academy with a losing record laying a touchdown on the road. There have been some bumps in Navy’s first season transitioning out of a traditional triple-option offense. It also looks like Navy will be down to its third-string quarterback after injuries to starter Tai Lavatai and top backup Blake Horvath.
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Max Meyer
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