Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
📊 ACTION REPORT: Which dogs are getting love against top-25 teams?
🔥 EXPERT PICKS: A pair of CFB spread plays and NFL player props
🏫 BACK TO SCHOOL: Which Big Ten team is getting 98% handle to cover?
🧑⚖️ MAKE THE CASE: Three CFB underdogs that we like to win outright
Cal head coach Justin Wilcox is 17-8 against the spread when his team is a touchdown underdog or more.
There were six top-25 teams that lost last week, including two of them to unranked foes. Will we see any major upsets this weekend?
Bettors are strongly backing four underdogs 🐶 to cover against ranked favorites in Week 9, and all of them are unranked teams getting double-digit points.
82.8% of handle on California (+10) vs. No. 24 USC
USC has lost consecutive games to Notre Dame and Utah 😬, and its season can really spiral out of control in a tricky spot at Berkeley. After reaching as high as Cal +11 earlier in the week, will we see this spread drop even more ahead of kickoff?
81.7% of handle on Colorado State (+14.5) vs. No. 19 Air Force
The Rams have been extremely close twice to pulling off a signature upset this season. Colorado State lost to Colorado in double overtime as 23-point underdogs and fell to UNLV on a field goal as time expired as 6.5-point dogs last weekend.
76.4% of handle on BYU (+20) at No. 7 Texas
Even with Texas starting QB Quinn Ewers out with a shoulder injury and backup Maalik Murphy filling in, the Longhorns have still risen from -17 to -20 against BYU 🤔.
73.6% of handle on Florida (+14) vs. No. 1 Georgia
Many bettors are fading another top-10 team with a key offensive injury, as this is Georgia’s first game without superstar tight end Brock Bowers (ankle). This line has ticked down slightly from the Georgia -14.5 opener.
Fanatics just turned Power 💪 Hour up a notch, as everyone is getting a bigger BONUS BET today!
Make sure to take advantage of the Power Hour surge, which starts at 12 p.m. ET.
EXPERT PICKS
Max Meyer is rolling with a road favorite and a home underdog for his Week 9 best bets, while Ariel Epstein is locking in two NFL player props for tomorrow.
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Oregon -6.5 (-110) at Utah [3:30 p.m. ET]
“Utah is off to a surprising 6-1 start without Cam Rising, but Oregon is the most complete team the Utes will have faced. The Ducks have already played in tough road environments, and Bo Nix hasn’t wilted like in past seasons.”
Kentucky +4 (-110) vs. Tennessee [7 p.m. ET]
“Tennessee is playing an SEC road game for the second week in a row, while Kentucky is off a bye. Kentucky’s defense is excellent at stopping the run, and I think relying on QB Joe Milton to make plays isn’t a recipe for success for Tennessee.”
“Cousins hasn’t gone over 255.5 passing yards at Lambeau since 2018. The Packers have allowed the eighth-fewest passing yards per game (211.5) and no quarterback has topped 237 against Green Bay this season.”
“The Steelers have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game to RBs, as the run defense hasn’t been the same since losing Cam Heyward to injury. Etienne has gotten at least 18 carries in 5 of the last 6 games.”
PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
It’s the final Saturday slate of October, with two battles between top-25 teams highlighting several key matchups on tap. Here are the sides that have been generating the most noteworthy action for Week 9.
Most Spread Tickets: Oklahoma (opened -10, now -8.5 at Kansas)
Most Spread Handle: Ohio (opened -7, now -7.5 vs. Miami Ohio)
Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Tickets: San Jose State 87.0% (opened -9.5, now -10.5 at Hawaii)
Most Lopsided Spread Bet by Handle: Maryland 98.5% (opened -13, now -14 at Northwestern)
Most Total Tickets: Oregon-Utah State OVER (opened 49.5, now 47)
Most Total Handle: Georgia-Florida OVER (opened 48.5, now 49)
Underdog With Most Moneyline Bets: Colorado, now +505 at UCLA
Senior editor Max Meyer will be sharing his favorite moneyline underdog 🐶 upset picks in weekend Hustle editions. So far, he’s up +3.53 units (7-10 record) and is swinging for the fences with three picks from today’s college football slate.
Purdue +105 at Nebraska [3:30 p.m. ET]
Nebraska is dealing with a lot of key injuries 🩹, especially on the offensive line. On the flip side, Purdue just had its bye week. There are some key advantages in this matchup for the underdog here. Nebraska is fifth in CFB in yards per carry allowed, but is facing Purdue’s Air Raid offense. Purdue’s defense is tied for 111th in 20-yard pass plays allowed, however the secondary is going up against Nebraska’s feeble aerial attack.
Cincinnati +240 at Oklahoma State [8 p.m. ET]
Whatever Mike Gundy did during Oklahoma State’s bye worked, as the Pokes have ripped off three straight Big 12 wins. But it’s time to sell high on Oklahoma State. Cincinnati has a top-25 run defense in terms of yards per carry allowed, which is key for slowing down Ollie Gordon and Oklahoma State’s offense. Cincinnati is better than its 2-5 record, losing a couple close games after significantly outgaining its opponents mixed in with unfortunate turnovers.
California +310 vs. USC [4 p.m. ET]
This is USC’s sixth straight week with a game and its fourth road contest over that stretch, while Cal is fresh coming off a bye. The Trojans defense is once again a disaster 🤢 and the offense has sneakily been declining as well. It doesn’t help that USC head coach Lincoln Riley missed a couple practices this week with pneumonia. I just think the vibes are off with the Trojans and they may not even get off the mat in Berkley with their CFP dreams out the window.
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