PointsBet: A Fanatics Experience data and insights
There were eight top-25 teams that lost last week, including four of them to unranked foes. Will we see any major upsets this weekend?
Bettors are strongly backing five underdogs to cover against ranked favorites in Week 8. Three of those dogs 🐶 are also ranked in the top 25 and two are unranked teams getting double-digit points.
96.7% of handle on No. 16 Duke (+14.5) at No. 4 Florida State
While Duke is up there for most lopsided spread bet, there is one team that has gotten more than 99% of the handle to cover in Week 8. That would be West Virginia (-3.5) at 99.1% 😳 hosting Oklahoma State.
91.5% of handle on No. 7 Penn State (+4.5) at No. 3 Ohio State
Penn State has drawn the most spread and moneyline handle of not just all underdogs in Week 8, but also among all teams.
84.3% of handle on Navy (+10) vs. No. 22 Air Force
In games between service academies, double-digit underdogs have covered 64% of the time. Air Force just lost starting QB Zac Larrier to a knee injury.
77.6% of handle on No. 14 Utah (+7) at No. 18 USC
Revenge 😡 spot for USC? Utah cost the Trojans a CFP berth last season by beating them by a point in Salt Lake City and then winning by 23 in the Pac-12 Championship Game after Caleb Williams got injured.
71.1% of handle on Washington State (+20) at No. 9 Oregon
What happened to Washington State’s offense after its bye week? After averaging 45.8 points in its first four games, the Cougars have combined for 23 points in losses to UCLA and Arizona.
Ariel Epstein is rolling with a favorite and an under in two massive MLB matchups, while Max Meyer is getting a head start on tomorrow's CFB slate with two double-digit underdogs.
THE PROP QUEEN
Astros at Rangers: Under 9 (-110) [5:07 p.m. ET]
“I trust both Jordan Montgomery and Justin Verlander in big spots. When these two starters faced off in Game 1, the final score was 2-0.”
Phillies Moneyline (-130) at Diamondbacks [8:07 p.m. ET]
“Since 2007, NLCS teams that won the first two games at home and lost the third on the road are 16-5 in Game 4. The Diamondbacks have struggled to hit all series, and I think the Phillies’ bats bounce back.”
THE SENIOR EDITOR
Navy +10 (-110) vs. Air Force [Sat., 12 p.m. ET]
“If there was ever an automatic play in college football, it’s a service academy getting over a touchdown against another service academy.”
UCF +17.5 (-110) at Oklahoma [Sat., 12 p.m. ET]
“UCF got a much-needed bye after losing 3 straight Big 12 games. Starting QB John Rhys Plumlee didn’t play much in those contests after a knee injury, and a healthier Plumlee’s legs is the motor that makes UCF’s offense really go.”
Jared Goff's NFL MVP odds are currently +1600, and he could see another jump with a big game against the Ravens.
Trying to figure out which player props to bet on for Week 7? Here are the ones that have been the most popular plays so far.
🏈 Top Passing Prop by Tickets: Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+125) Buyer beware? Goff has thrown multiple TD passes in only 2 of his past 15 road games 😮.
🏈 Top Passing Prop by Handle: Justin Herbert to Get 26+ Completions (+105) The price on 26+ completions has swung from +145 to +105 for the QB who had the most completions in his first three seasons in NFL history.
🏈 Top Rushing Prop by Tickets: Lamar Jackson Under Rushing Yards (now 60.5) After the Lions 🦁 allowed an NFL-worst 700 QB rushing yards (41.2 per game) last season, that number is down to 77 through six games (12.8).
🏈 Top Rushing Prop by Handle: Kenneth Walker Over Rushing Yards (now 75.5) Opposing lead running backs have received at least 20 carries in each of the past four games against the Cardinals. They’ve averaged 116.8 rushing yards over that span.
🏈 Top Receiving Prop by Tickets: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over Receiving Yards (now 75.5) St. Brown has crossed the century 💯 mark in 3 of 5 games this season. Can he just stay healthy?
🏈 Top Receiving Prop by Handle: Cade Otton Under Receiving Yards (now 20.5) This prop has already dropped from 25.5 to 20.5, and Otton has only reached 20 receiving yards in 1 of 5 games in 2023.
🏈 Top Scoring Prop by Tickets: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime Touchdown (+170) St. Brown is also +850 to score the first TD in Lions-Ravens, a feat he’s already done three times this campaign 💰.
🏈 Top Scoring Prop by Handle: Cooper Kupp Anytime Touchdown (+105) The last time Kupp faced the Steelers (Nov. 2019) was also the last game he was held without a catch.
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