The PointsBet Hustle™ is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
THE MAIN EVENT: Public and Sharps clash on Dallas-Minny
EXPERT PICKS: Jay and Ryan are down on the Chargers
POWER HOUR: A Free Bet drop for In-Play action!
HUSTLE BOOST: Glorious combo of football and futbol
KEY FACTS: The 8-1 home team is an underdog to the 6-3 Cowboys. Why? Minnesota’s point differential (+35) indicates its record might be flimsy. Dallas has a top-six defense in both points (18.2 per game) and passing (181.7 yards). And for what it’s worth, Kirk Cousins is 7-14 in late afternoon games.
TRENDING: The Cowboys have covered four straight coming off a loss. All five battles between Cousins and Dak Prescott have gone Over ↗️.
INSIGHT: The bet count is split, but 69% of the handle is on Dallas, indicating sharp action.
EXPERT PICKS
NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher had a big stretch, nailing outright victories on two underdogs (Titans +3.5, Navy +16). Meanwhile, Ryan hit on USC -2.5. What do they like Sunday?
THE BOOK
Colts +6.5 over Eagles (-107)
"The Eagles are banged up and their poor rush 'D' will give way to a rejuvenated Jonathan Taylor."
Chiefs -5.5 over Chargers (-105)
"San Diego's defense remains decimated; Mahomes will carve it up."
THE BIG NAME
Eagles -6.5 over Colts (-107)
"The best thing for Philly was taking that loss Monday. Jeff Saturday's honeymoon is over."
Chiefs -5.5 over Chargers (-105)
"San Diego struggles to score, but that's all the Chiefs do. They will put the AFC West to bed."
Rationale: The Joes think the Bills will romp in room temperature. The Pros are wary of laying more than a touchdown on this version of Josh Allen (six INTs in last three games).
2. Cowboys (-1.5) @ Vikings
Pros: Cowboys 69% handle
Joes: Vikings 51% tickets
Rationale: The Joes see this line and say: Whaaaa? The 8-1 home team is getting points? The professionals are not buying Kirk Cousins and love the Dallas ‘D.’
3. Chiefs (-5.5) @ Chargers
Pros: Chargers 74% handle
Joes: Chiefs 53% tickets
Rationale: The Joes are almost always Mahomies of the KC QB. The Pros will take this many points in a tense, divisional matchup.
4. Bengals @ Steelers, Total 40
Pros: Under 81% handle
Joes: Over 56% tickets
Rationale: The public expects big things from Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon. The sharps predict a low-scoring AFC North slog.
Saints QB Andy Dalton ⬇️ 210.5 Passing Yards (-115): NOLA’s O-line is banged up and LA’s Aaron Donald is a bad man, so look for Dalton to be struggle.
Commanders WR Terry McLaurin ⬆️ 65.5 Receiving Yards (-110): McLaurin is scaring defenders with Taylor Heinicke at the Commanders’ helm.
Jets WR Garrett Wilson ⬇️ 55.5 Receiving Yards (-125): Wild hunch that Bill Belichick’s crew will not let Wilson go off as he did in last meeting (115 yards on six catches).
USA all the way! New signups, excluding those in NY, PA, WV and KS, can wager $1 to win $2,000 if the Stars and Stripes capture the World Cup. This is a boost from 150/1!
Max bet $1. Limited time only. Terms and conditions apply.
The World Cup ⚽ begins this morning (11 a.m. ET), with host Qatar dueling Ecuador. The U.S. team takes on Wales at 2 p.m. ET Monday. The Americans are a slight favorite (+140), with a draw/overtime (+200) nearly even with a Wales win (+230).
England’s Harry Kane and France’s Kylian Mbappe are favored as the tournament’s Top Goal Scorer (+750), followed by Lionel Messi (+950). Bets on Karim Benzema were voided after he was ruled out of the competition because of a muscle tear.
KEY FACTS: With money flowing in on the Chargers (72% of our handle), the line has shrunk from 7. The Bolts hope two of Justin Herbert’s money receivers – Keenan Allen and Mike Williams – can contribute after being listed as questionable. The Chiefs won the team’s Week 2 meeting 27-24 thanks to a 99-yard pick-6 by Jaylen Watson. Patrick Mahomes was limited to 235 passing yards.
TRENDING: Mahomes is 24-14-1 ATS away from Arrowhead Stadium. Mirroring that, the road team has covered 16 of the last 21 in the series.
HUSTLE BOOST
USA TO WIN (vs. WALES) AND COWBOYS TO WIN (vs. MINNESOTA) +350 ➡️ +400