Spread tickets (Joes) indicate public. Spread handle (Pros) reflects sharp action. Let’s dive in:
1. Rams @ Cardinals, Total 48.5
Pros: Under 67% handle
Joes: Over 57% tickets
Rationale: The public sees Kyler Murray scrambling north/south/east/west and thinks: Points! But Arizona has scored just seven in the first half this season, and the Rams rank 26th in yards per game (290.0).
2. Texans (+3) @ Bears
Pros: HOU 67% handle
Joes: CHI 53% tickets
Rationale: Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last six. The Bears somehow manage to play down to their competition, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven against losing teams.
3. Bills @ Dolphins, Total 53
Pros: Under 67% handle
Joes: Over 55% tickets
Rationale: Even with Buffalo’s ‘D’ riddled with injuries, the sharps do not envision Tua tangoing away from Buffalo’s ferocious pass rush.
4. Eagles @ Commanders, Total 47.5
Pros: Under 72% handle
Joes: Over 57% tickets
Rationale: Two defenses in the bottom half of the league against the run should result in more rushes. More rushes equals fewer plays and fewer points.
5. Saints @ Panthers, Total 41
Pros: Under 62% handle
Joes: Over 61% tickets
Rationale: Carolina has one of the league’s lamest offenses and the under is 7-2 in the Saints’ last 9 games.
