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MONEY TRAIN

September 25, 2022

Spread tickets (Joes) indicate public 💰. Spread handle (Pros) reflects sharp 📈 action. Let’s dive in:

1. Rams @ Cardinals, Total 48.5

Pros: Under 67% handle

Joes: Over 57% tickets

Rationale: The public sees Kyler Murray scrambling north/south/east/west and thinks: Points! But Arizona has scored just seven in the first half this season, and the Rams rank 26th in yards per game (290.0).

2. Texans (+3) @ Bears

Pros: HOU 67% handle

Joes: CHI 53% tickets

Rationale: Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last six. The Bears somehow manage to play down to their competition, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven against losing teams.

3. Bills @ Dolphins, Total 53

Pros: Under 67% handle

Joes: Over 55% tickets

Rationale: Even with Buffalo’s ‘D’ riddled with injuries, the sharps do not envision Tua tangoing away from Buffalo’s ferocious pass rush.

4. Eagles @ Commanders, Total 47.5

Pros: Under 72% handle

Joes: Over 57% tickets

Rationale: Two defenses in the bottom half of the league against the run should result in more rushes. More rushes equals fewer plays and fewer points.

5. Saints @ Panthers, Total 41

Pros: Under 62% handle

Joes: Over 61% tickets

Rationale: Carolina has one of the league’s lamest offenses and the under is 7-2 in the Saints’ last 9 games.