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January 28, 2024


KEY FACTS: At +4.5, this is tied for the most points Patrick Mahomes has ever gotten in an NFL game—along with when he was a 4.5-point underdog 🐕 to the Steelers in Week 2 of the 2018 season. The Ravens have only trailed entering the fourth quarter once this season (Rams in Week 14), which is tied for the fewest games in any season since 1990.

MAKING MOVES: The spread went back and forth between Ravens -3.5 and -3 last Sunday, but it has crept up ever since. It reached Ravens -4 for the first time on Tuesday and then Ravens -4.5 on Saturday night. After the total was released at 44.5, it hasn’t strayed more than a point away from the opening number. It dropped to as low as 43.5 on Tuesday and hit 45 on multiple occasions before settling back in at 44.5.

MONITORING MONEYLINE: Even with Mahomes’ incredible success as an underdog, the majority of bettors like the Ravens (-210) outright. Baltimore has collected 53.3% of the tickets along with 68.2% of the handle 💵 among all moneyline bets for this clash.