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April 24, 2023

TIP-OFF: 7:30 p.m. ET

KEY FACTS: Giannis Antetokounmpo is slated to return after only playing just 11 minutes this series due to a back injury. Miami appears to be in good shape given that the Game 3 winner in a 1-1 best-of-seven series has advanced 73% of the time since 1984.

TRENDING: The Bucks are 0-3 straight up at Kaseya Center this year and are 0-5 ATS ❌ in their last five trips to Miami. The over has cashed eight times in the Heat’s past 10 games, including in each game this series.

INSIGHTS: Milwaukee opened as 4-point chalk, but that line has jumped all the way up to 7 thanks to the positive Giannis news. Many clients are backing the road team to bounce back, with the Bucks collecting 73% of the spread handle and 84% of the moneyline handle.

TOP PROP: Kyle Lowry has notched exactly three assists in each contest this series. But Lowry over 3.5 assists (-145) has captured the most handle of any Game 4 player prop.

SERIES SWING: The Heat were tied with the Nets for the biggest Round 1 underdog at +700, whereas the Bucks were heavy -1250 favorites. Miami is down to +180 to move on to the second round, with Milwaukee priced at -228.