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MARQUEE MATCHUP ๐Ÿ“บ

September 17, 2023

OPENING KICKOFF: 1 p.m. ET

WHY WEโ€™RE WATCHING: This is the highest total ๐ŸŽ† on the board, with the next-closest one (Seahawks-Lions at 47) 4 points away. Itโ€™s also the only game with two QBs in the top 5 in MVP odds squaring off โ€“ Patrick Mahomes is a +650 co-favorite and Trevor Lawrence is tied for fifth at +1000.

MAKING MOVES: The Chiefs opened as 2.5-point road favorites and were at -3.5 for most of the week. This line, however, dipped back down to Chiefs -3 very early this morning. The total has gone back and forth between 51 and 51.5 all week, and itโ€™s currently settled at 51.

COVERING MACHINE: Usually bettors have to lay a good amount of points when backing Mahomes. But when heโ€™s either an underdog or favored by 3 points or fewer, heโ€™s gone 19-6-1 against the spread (including playoffs) ๐Ÿคฏ.

TROUBLE IN TRENCHES: The Jaguars are already down Cam Robinson, as the left tackle is suspended for four games. Guard Brandon Scherff and center Luke Fortner are both listed as questionable with ankle injuries. The Chiefs led the NFL in QB pressures and were second in sacks last season, and they get Chris Jones back.