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June 1, 2023

THE LINES: Heat (+9) vs. Nuggets; Total 219

TIPOFF: 8:30 p.m. ET

KEY FACTS: The Nuggets suit up on nine days’ rest after sweeping the Lakers. The Heat avoided a historic collapse by throttling the Celtics in Game 7 on Monday. Miami is the third team in history to reach the NBA Finals despite finishing dead last in points per game (109.5) in the regular season. This is the first time since the ABA/NBA merger in 1976 that both participants entered the postseason +1000 or more to win it all.

TRENDING: Since 1991, home teams are 21-11 ATS (65.5%) and 25-7 straight up (78.1%) in Game 1. Miami is 12-4 ATS in its last 16, and Denver has covered 7 of its last 10 at home. The over ⬆️ is 10-3 in the Heat’s last 13 road contests.

INSIGHTS: Spread bettors give the edge to the ‘dog. The moneyline tilts to Denver (-360) 0ver Miami (+290).

TOP WAGERED PROP: Jamal Murray to Score 20+ Points. The heavy juice (-475) is not deterring PointsBet clients.