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May 10, 2023

Lakers @ Warriors (-7); Total 225.5

TIP-OFF: 10 p.m. ET

KEY FACTS: The Warriors, facing a do-or-die Game 5, are 7-2 in elimination games under Steve Kerr. LeBron James is 40-12 in closeout games — the best record by any player in NBA postseason history (min. 25 games).

TRENDING: Golden State is 33-12 straight up following a playoff loss since 2013, good for the NBA’s highest winning percentage (.733) in that span. The Lakers have had the Warriors’ number this season, as L.A. is 6-2 straight up and ATS ✅ against Golden State.

MAKING MOVES: The Warriors opened as 6-point favorites in Game 5. After reaching as high as -7.5 this morning, the line has firmed to -7. Meanwhile, the total has decreased from 226.5 to 225.5.

TOP PROP: After dropping 55 points in the first two games, Klay Thompson put up 15 in Game 3 and a mere 9 in Game 4. Many clients think Klay will regain his stroke, as over ⬆️ 22.5 points is the player prop receiving the most handle.

LOPSIDED ACTION: Game 4 hero Lonnie Walker IV has seen his points prop jump from 7.5 to 8.5. That over ⬆️ has drawn a whopping 96% of the handle. May the IV be with you, clients. For moneyline, the Warriors (-325) have nabbed 91% of the handle.