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November 30, 2023

Victor Wembanyama was the most hyped player to enter the NBA πŸ€ in some time. For the first time all season, however, he’s not the Rookie of the Year favorite.

Wembanyama started the season as the -150 odds-on favorite, with Chet Holmgren as the second choice at +325. Now Holmgren is atop the board for the first time at -145, with Wemby close behind at +115.

So why is the Thunder big man now leading the pack for Rookie of the Year? We brought in trader Jake Fisher to help explain πŸ•΅οΈβ€β™‚οΈ.

ASK THE TRADER: In the days following Holmgren’s 33-point performance against the 76ers, we have noticed the NBA ROY market shift dramatically in his favor. He is our second-largest liability for any award behind Luka Doncic MVP. His current price of -145 can be attributed to his efficient play for the 11-6 Thunder. But I think Holmgren’s strong supporting cast somewhat mitigates the difference in record between the Thunder and Spurs. He’s gotten to play more as a secondary option compared to Wembanyama battling as the Spurs’ top player, which I think the voters for this award will consider.