Spread tickets indicate public money. Spread handle reflects sharp action. Let’s dive in:
1. Chargers (-1.5) @ Browns
Pros: Browns 72% handle
Joes: Chargers 57% tickets
Rationale: The Pros know the Chargers have been anything but electric ⚡ against the Browns, going 2-6 ATS in their last eight. And the ‘dogs have barked (7-1 ATS).
2. Seattle (+5.5) @ Saints
Pros: Saints 68% handle
Joes: Seahawks 74% tickets
Rationale: Joe Public has fallen in love with Geno Smith. The sharps think Alvin Kamara, set to return from a rib injury, will feast against a porous rush D.
3. Eagles (-5) @ Cardinals
Pros: Cardinals 74% handle
Joes: Eagles 63% tickets
Rationale: The Cardinals have put the Hurts on the Eagles six of the last eight meetings. And, if it matters, Kliff ⛰️ Kingsbury has ruled in October (12-3 straight up).
4. 49ers (-6) @ Panthers; Total 39.5
Pros: Under 69% handle
Joes: Over 60% tickets
Rationale: The Joes see a sub-40 line and salivate. Pros predict destruction for Baker Mayfield, given that San Fran leads the NFL in TFLs (29).
5. Cowboys (+5) @ Rams; Total 42
Pros: Under 72% handle
Joes: Over 59% tickets
Rationale: The Joes envision a Rush of Dallas scores. The sharps realize that neither team is scoring even 18 points a game, and the defenses are strong.