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October 9, 2022

Spread tickets indicate public money. Spread handle reflects sharp action. Let’s dive in:

1. Chargers (-1.5) @ Browns

Pros: Browns 72% handle

Joes: Chargers 57% tickets

Rationale: The Pros know the Chargers have been anything but electric ⚡ against the Browns, going 2-6 ATS in their last eight. And the ‘dogs have barked (7-1 ATS).

2. Seattle (+5.5) @ Saints

Pros: Saints 68% handle

Joes: Seahawks 74% tickets

Rationale: Joe Public has fallen in love with Geno Smith. The sharps think Alvin Kamara, set to return from a rib injury, will feast against a porous rush D.

3. Eagles (-5) @ Cardinals

Pros: Cardinals 74% handle

Joes: Eagles 63% tickets

Rationale: The Cardinals have put the Hurts on the Eagles six of the last eight meetings. And, if it matters, Kliff ⛰️ Kingsbury has ruled in October (12-3 straight up).

4. 49ers (-6) @ Panthers; Total 39.5

Pros: Under 69% handle

Joes: Over 60% tickets

Rationale: The Joes see a sub-40 line and salivate. Pros predict destruction for Baker Mayfield, given that San Fran leads the NFL in TFLs (29).

5. Cowboys (+5) @ Rams; Total 42

Pros: Under 72% handle

Joes: Over 59% tickets

Rationale: The Joes envision a Rush of Dallas scores. The sharps realize that neither team is scoring even 18 points a game, and the defenses are strong.