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ASK THE TRADER πŸ€”

January 7, 2024

A few NFL awards appear to be a wrap πŸ”’ heading into Week 18. Lamar Jackson is -20000 to win NFL MVP. C.J. Stroud is -1000 for Offensive Rookie of the Year, as is Kevin Stefanski for Coach of the Year.

One award, however, has had a major shakeup this week.

Eagles defensive lineman Jalen Carter resided at -10000 to be awarded Defensive Rookie of the Year on Monday morning. Now Carter is priced at -150 🀯, with two contenders gaining significant ground in Will Anderson Jr. and Kobie Turner. Anderson’s odds were as high as +3500 over the past week, while Turner wasn’t even listed.

We brought in football trader Ethan Useloff to explain the recent DROY craziness.

ASK THE TRADER: Anderson has been on fire lately with two multi-sack efforts in his past three games. The big surprise in this race, though, is Turner. The Rams’ third-round pick has burst onto the scene recently, compiling seven sacks over the past six games. Though Anderson’s numbers are impressive, he plays a position coming with sack expectations, while Carter and Turner are interior linemen. Carter leads all qualified rookies in pass rush win rate (16.9%) despite playing IDL and having to take on double teams for 59% of all pass-rush snaps. For Anderson or Turner to leap Carter in DROY rankings, they would have to outpace him in the all-important sack metric, and Anderson will have a prime opportunity to do so on a national stage Saturday night.