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ASK THE TRADER 🤔

November 7, 2023

It was another big week for NFL unders, as they went 11-3 in NFL Week 9 to move to 82-53-1 (60.7%) on the season. That includes all three prime-time games, as unders are now a remarkable 22-7 (75.9%) 🤯 in night games this season.

According to Action Network, this is the highest rate that NFL unders have hit since 1991.

We brought in trader Wyatt Satre to discuss whether betting patterns have changed on totals and if it will impact setting odds on totals going forward this season.

ASK THE TRADER: Bettors have definitely noticed 👀 how strong unders have been and it’s been a far more popular play compared to early in the season. From the start of the season to October 1, 38% of the handle for straight bets on totals was on the under. From October 2 to November 5, that number is up to 53% on the under. I’d say the market has slightly adjusted with lower totals given scoring in 2022 was 43.8 and this season is 43.4, but wouldn’t say it’s caused a dramatic impact and it’s important not to overreact.