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August 15, 2023

It’s been a news-filled ???? 24 hours in the NFL. Veteran running backs Ezekiel Elliott (Patriots) and Dalvin Cook (Jets) found new homes yesterday, then Colts head coach Shane Steichen announced this morning that rookie Anthony Richardson would be the team’s Week 1 starting quarterback.

Were futures markets impacted by these moves? Let’s check it out, along with additional commentary from strategy & trading analyst Jake Fisher.

Patriots Super Bowl: +5000 to +5000 ❌
Patriots Division: +800 to +800 ❌
Patriots Win Total: 7.5 (Over +115/Under -145) to 7.5 (+110/-140) ✅

Jets Super Bowl: +1300 to +1300 ❌
Jets Division: +225 to +225 ❌
Jets Win Total: 9.5 (Over -115/Under -105) to 9.5 (-120/+100) ✅

ASK THE TRADER: “Both teams play in the highly competitive AFC East, so pricing behind Super Bowl and division futures held firm while each team’s regular season win total moved only 5 cents toward the over. However, weekly player prop and award markets should fluctuate once definitive roles are carved out for each player for the regular season.”

Anthony Richardson Offensive Rookie of the Year: +900 (5th) to +650 (3rd) ✅

ASK THE TRADER: “We trimmed Richardson’s OROY odds because he’s our third-largest liability for the award and had a more promising preseason debut than some of the other quarterbacks. He’s also tied with Jahmyr Gibbs for the lead in ticket count.”