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December 31, 2022

When we spoke with PointsBet trading manager Sam Garriock, the Ohio State-Georgia line was 6.5. His comment contained a prediction that came true.

Nearly 90% of our spread handle is on Georgia. Why not shift the line to 7?

  • “The more respected action we have taken is on Ohio State. Most public projection systems have this closer to 4.5, and this lines up with what the sharper bettors have bet with us. I think it is more likely to go to 6 than it is to go to 7.”

What’s the most interesting handicapping debate/issue in TCU-Michigan?

  • “The toughest part is how to value Michigan’s blowout win over Ohio State, where most of the scores came on explosive plays that aren’t necessarily predictive of future explosive plays. They highlight how good of a coaching job (Jim) Harbaugh did to prepare for that style of defense and how well (J.J.) McCarthy adapted to those blitzes.”