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June 27, 2023

There’s still a little over two months before the NFL season kicks off. To help speed up the timeline, we’re starting daily NFL betting reports. We’ll be highlighting the action for individual teams in four Hustles per week, sorting them out by division.

We continue our tour around the AFC East with the Dolphins.

Odds: Opened +4000 (T-12th), currently +2500 (T-10th)
Action: 2.6% tickets (13th), 3.9% handle (10th)

Odds: 9.5 (Over -115, Under -105)
Action: Over 82% tickets, Over 80% handle

Odds: Opened +375 (T-2nd), currently +325 (3rd)
Action: 27.0% tickets (3rd among AFC East teams), 17.8% handle (3rd)


Clients are not buying Tua Tagovailoa as a true MVP candidate so far, even though the lefty has the ninth-lowest odds at +1900. Miami’s quarterback has snagged only 0.9% of the tickets (T-19th) and 0.4% of the handle (24th).

The Dolphins are the only team to have two players in the top-10 for handle for Defensive Player of the Year: Bradley Chubb (+6000) is fourth at 7.4% and Jaelan Phillips (+2200) is sixth at 4.0%.

TRADER’S TAKE: “The Dolphins look to exceed their win total from last year by making minor improvements on defense, including adding CB Jalen Ramsey and getting a full season of a strong edge rusher in Chubb. But I’m not buying the Dolphins as a Super Bowl sleeper because I don’t think Tua can stay healthy for a full season and be consistent enough under center.”